Basically, the Saudi Crown Prince will either consolidate power or spark civil war. No one knows which. But either has huge implications.https://twitter.com/ChrisMurphyCT/status/927215722702438401 …
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Also, Lebanese PM Saad Hariri resigned, announcing while in Saudi Arabia. He said Iran and Hezbollah planned to assassinate him.
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Hezbollah's leader Hassan Nasrallah said they didn't want Hariri to resign, and accused the Saudis of forcing him to manipulate Lebanon.
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The Saudi purge and Hariri resignation need to be viewed, at least in part, through the lens of Saudi-Iranian cold war for regional control.
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Kushner's secret trip to Saudi Arabia followed by MBS purge is more evidence the Trump administration is all in on the Saudis against Iran.
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US long supported Saudi Arabia, but took more of a regional balancer role in greater Middle East power struggle. Abandoning that is risky.
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It's not clear Saudis can win, even with greater US support. They haven't gotten close to stabilizing Yemen, and pushed Qatar closer to Iran
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This could spark regional war. And as former SecDef Bob Gates put it, the Saudis are always ready to fight the Iranians to the last American
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Unclear how much is Trump admin strategy or if the president's being manipulated. But US is going all in on the Saudis either way. (END)
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End of conversation
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The problem with that plan is it's not clear they can. For example, Saudis' US-backed intervention into Yemen hasn't stabilized anything.
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Pro tip: If you get to run your country by choosing your parents carefully, you're a bad guy.
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