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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      Every party to the #IranDeal (UK, France, Germany, China, Russia) says Iran's living up to its obligations. Even Trump certified it twice.

      1 reply 18 retweets 26 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      But during the campaign, Trump grandstanded against the #IranDeal (without ever demonstrating that he understands it).

      4 replies 11 retweets 17 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      Because Trump said the #IranDeal's terrible, he thinks staying in makes him look weak. To Trump, that matters more than US foreign policy.

      1 reply 26 retweets 27 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      SecDef Mattis, Chair of Joint Chiefs Dunford, NatSec Advisor McMaster, SecState Tillerson, etc. all think US should stay in the #IranDeal

      3 replies 15 retweets 20 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      INARA gives Trump an out. He can "decertify," saying Iran's not in compliance. But not actually do anything in response. #IranDeal

      2 replies 8 retweets 12 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      That abdicates responsibility, kicking the ball to Congress to decide on new sanctions, much as Congress kicked the ball to Obama. #IranDeal

      1 reply 8 retweets 13 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      After decertification, Congress has 60 days. With Congressional gridlock (and Iran complying with #Irandeal), chances are they do nothing...

      1 reply 7 retweets 16 likes
      Show this thread
    8. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      ...or at least nothing substantial. That leaves #IranDeal in a weird limbo, with POTUS saying US is out, but US not doing anything different

      2 replies 6 retweets 14 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      Ok, that's the background. If you want more, check out my recent #IranDeal article. I'll be back when speech starts.https://arcdigital.media/withdrawing-from-the-iran-nuclear-deal-is-trumps-worst-decision-so-far-a88356e3ff2c …

      2 replies 3 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      The Iranian government is certainly repressive and anti-American, but worth remembering the revolution overthrew U.S.-installed dictator.

      4 replies 7 retweets 15 likes
      Show this thread
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

      Did he just blame Iran for 9/11? Disturbing parallels to inaccurate accusations against Iraq in 2002-03.

      9:58 AM - 13 Oct 2017 from Urbana, IL
      • 16 Retweets
      • 21 Likes
      • Presi_Dunce 🍊Twit Joshua Michail SkinnyCanWrite ✍ Joanie Deborah Few u3Y4BDE Asucena Marj Kristi with an 👁 Vote Nov. 6th
      2 replies 16 retweets 21 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Everyone should clearly understand: most of these accusations are accurate. The situation's not simple. But still. Accusations accurate.

          2 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Holy crap. The Iranian government was on the verge of total collapse in 2015? TOTALLY FALSE. This misconception explains a lot. #IranDeal

          3 replies 23 retweets 43 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Iran got sanctions relief only after the IAEA certified Iran had given up almost all uranium enrichment and destroyed its plutonium reactor.

          1 reply 6 retweets 16 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          We *should* work with our allies to counter Iran's destabilizing activities. Allies like UK, France, and Germany in the #IranDeal.

          2 replies 4 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Challenging Iran on ballistic missiles is the right thing to do. But that's not in the #IranDeal, and scrapping deal it harder, not easier.

          2 replies 7 retweets 16 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Iranian hardliners, who have been arguing internally that the United States cannot be trusted, are loving this. #IranDeal

          5 replies 37 retweets 50 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          The US can't terminate the #IranDeal. America can only renege on its commitments. Can't force UK, France, Germany, Russia, China, or Iran.

          2 replies 24 retweets 25 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          This is so muddled. Helping pro-trade, pro-freedom, pro-democracy Iranians gain domestically is smart. But scrapping #IranDeal does opposite

          3 replies 9 retweets 19 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Many of Trump's criticisms and stated goals make sense. But his proposed strategy will hurt those goals. Totally backwards. #IranDeal

          2 replies 5 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        11. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Here's why even trying to force Europe to impose new sanctions they think shouldn't be imposed is so risky #IranDealhttps://arcdigital.media/scrapping-the-iran-deal-could-break-the-western-alliance-6412fab60670 …

          2 replies 12 retweets 10 likes
          Show this thread
        12. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Sanctioning Iranian Revolutionary Guard is interesting. They're semi-independent, with some funding coming from businesses they own.

          1 reply 4 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        13. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Revolutionary Guard is responsible for destabilizing activities in Iraq, Yemen, Lebanon, and elsewhere. But also made big gains against ISIS

          2 replies 7 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        14. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Trump denounced Iran for supporting Bashar al Assad in Syria. Assad's other big supporter is Russia. Is Trump going to denounce Russia too?

          1 reply 35 retweets 39 likes
          Show this thread
        15. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          If you're concerned about Iran getting a nuclear weapon after parts of #IranDeal end in 2030s, why make it easier for Iran to get one now?

          1 reply 11 retweets 22 likes
          Show this thread
        16. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          A frustrating speech. Enough truth mixed among the falsehoods that people who want to believe the whole thing will find a way. #IranDeal

          4 replies 8 retweets 20 likes
          Show this thread
        17. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          In a test, US Energy Dept tried to hide nuclear activity. Cleaned up, paved. It failed. Radioactivity shows up. Iran couldn't hide it either

          2 replies 7 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        18. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Congress needs to step up. Honor America's word. Trump got to act tough for domestic audience. Congress must prioritize US foreign policy.

          1 reply 18 retweets 28 likes
          Show this thread
        19. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 13 Oct 2017

          Only two alternatives to the #IranDeal's diplomatic solution: a nuclear Iran and war. We're now on a path of escalation. (END)

          0 replies 18 retweets 18 likes
          Show this thread
        20. End of conversation
        1. ☆ Gift of Mercy ☆  🌐‏ @GiftofMercy1 13 Oct 2017
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          Wonder whether @realDonaldTrump has read " Solving 911..", by Chris Bollyn . Master Forensic Journalist ! Ought to be "Compulsory" Reading !

          0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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