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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      (THREAD) So much going on, you might miss today's biggest story, the #KurdistanReferendum. Will change the Middle East and could spark war.pic.twitter.com/cjwAN4w6b5

      6 replies 148 retweets 148 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      With about 35 million people, the Kurds have long been called the world's largest ethnic group without a state. #KurdistanReferendum 2/x

      1 reply 7 retweets 18 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      The Kurdish population is spread through mostly four countries: Iraq, Iran, Turkey, and Syria. #KurdistanReferendum 3/xpic.twitter.com/K6pWGhOKUG

      2 replies 7 retweets 13 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      Iraqi Kurdistan has been de facto autonomous since the 1991 Gulf War, protected by a U.S. No Fly Zone. #KurdistanReferendum 4/x

      1 reply 3 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      Ever hear about Saddam gassing his own people? Killed up to 5,000 in Iraqi Kurdish town of Halabja in 1988. #KurdistanReferendum 5/x

      1 reply 4 retweets 15 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      After US-led coalition overthrew Saddam in 2003, Iraqi Kurdistan officially became a semi-autonomous region. #KurdistanReferendum 6/x

      1 reply 4 retweets 8 likes
      Show this thread
    7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      But multi-ethnic, oil rich city of Kirkuk stayed part of Iraq proper. The #KurdistanReferendum is taking place there today anyway. 7/x

      1 reply 2 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

      Kurds claim Kirkuk was a Kurdish city but Saddam forcibly moved some Kurds out and some Arabs in to control the oil #KurdistanReferendum 8/x

      7:16 AM - 25 Sep 2017
      • 3 Retweets
      • 11 Likes
      • Mariana S. Lee P. 💜 💙BlueTexas💙8645 Pills & Pebbles Zen Bonobo Hugo Stiglitz Rebel Scum Phil Nancy Fields DRAWNWINDOW
      1 reply 3 retweets 11 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          When ISIS swept across northern Iraq in 2014, the Iraqi army folded, but the Kurdish Peshmerga held. #KurdistanReferendum 9/x

          1 reply 5 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          With US air support, the Peshmerga pushed ISIS back, taking control of Kirkuk and other areas (shaded blue). #KurdistanReferendum 10/xpic.twitter.com/nwKKQShEzp

          1 reply 7 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          The Kurds have wanted an independent state for at least a century. Arguably much more. #KurdistanReferendum 11/x

          1 reply 3 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          They've fought and died to protect their land. They see little value in Iraqi central government They're holding a #KurdistanReferendum 12/x

          2 replies 3 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Problem is, everyone else opposes it. Iraqi government strongly opposed. The Kurds' long-time US ally is opposed #KurdistanReferendum 13/x

          2 replies 2 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Most opposed are Turkey and Iran. They fear a successful #KurdishReferendum will prompt their Kurds to want independence too. 14/x

          1 reply 6 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Turkey has fought a decades-long on-and-off war with Kurdish separatists. They've faced many terrorist attacks. #KurdistanReferendum 15/x

          1 reply 2 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Preventing an independent Kurdish state is a top priority for Turkey. So much that it's shaped Turkey's strategy in Syrian civil war 16/x

          1 reply 5 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          As the Kurds go to the polls, the Turkish and Iranian militaries are holding large exercises. Not a subtle threat. #KurdishReferendum 17/x

          1 reply 2 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        11. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Turnout for the #KurdistanReferendum is expected to be high, and they will almost certainly vote for independence by a large margin. 18/x

          1 reply 4 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        12. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          If the Iraqi Kurdish regional government follows the #KurdishReferendum by declaring independence, Turkey and/or Iran could attack. 19/x

          3 replies 4 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        13. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          The Peshmerga's not weak, but the Turkish military is much stronger. Remember, the Kurds needed US help to push back ISIS. 20/x

          1 reply 3 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        14. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Would the US let it's Kurdish ally get attacked? Would the US fire upon its NATO ally Turkey? #KurdishReferendum forces those questions 21/x

          3 replies 3 retweets 14 likes
          Show this thread
        15. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Iranian military is more powerful than the Peshmerga as well. If Iran attacks, will it spiral into a larger US-Iran war? 22/x

          1 reply 2 retweets 7 likes
          Show this thread
        16. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          What will the Turkish Kurds do? As Turkey fears, the separatists could easily see the Iraqi #KurdishReferendum as motivation, and rebel 23/x

          1 reply 3 retweets 10 likes
          Show this thread
        17. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          The #KurdistanReferendum also strains the anti-ISIS coalition, putting the Kurds, Iraq, Turkey, and US on potentially different sides. 24/x

          1 reply 3 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        18. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Fearing larger conflict, the US implored the Kurds not to do it. But they think they've waited more than long enough #KurdishReferendum 25/x

          1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
          Show this thread
        19. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          Possible outcomes range from a new, relatively stable, relatively multi-ethnic and multi-confessional, democratic state... 26/x

          1 reply 5 retweets 12 likes
          Show this thread
        20. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 25 Sep 2017

          ... to a regional interstate war--the last thing the Middle East needs. Watch closely what happens after the #KurdistanReferendum. (END)

          3 replies 7 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        21. End of conversation

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