(THREAD) Everyone wishes there was an easy solution to #NorthKorea, but that won't make it so. And Trump's making it worse.
#NorthKoreaNukespic.twitter.com/IAhCbgDw2M
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His threat to cut all trade with anyone who trades with #NorthKorea is an obvious bluff.
8/x
Stop trade with China and stock markets--one of Trump's favorite measurements of his performance--would crash. 9/xhttps://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/891343645529567232?lang=en …
America would plunge into recession. Cutting trade with #China over the #NorthKorea issue is Mutual Assured Economic Destruction.
10/x
Cutting off trade with China is a guy-at-the-end-of-the-bar idea. Might sound good for a sec, but gets dumber when you think about it. 11/x
-China doesn't want a trade war. They'll give in!
-They know the US doesn't want a trade war. They'll call the bluff.
#NorthKorea
12/x
If Trump's dumb/crazy enough to do it, China would rather take the pain than capitulate. Giving in would just invite more demands. 13/x
To be clear: Trump's approach to #NorthKorea is terrible, but that doesn't mean there's a clear solution he's ignoring
#NorthKoreaNukes
14/x
As I explained in this article, the US and allies have tried many approaches to #NorthKorea. None solved it.
15/xhttps://medium.com/@nicholasgrossman/how-do-you-solve-a-problem-north-korea-69175f68b8de …
But, even though we can't solve it, we can still make it better or worse.
#NorthKoreaNukes
16/x
A credible threat of overwhelming force in response to an attack prevents #NorthKorea from firing first.
17/x
That keeps us in a tense contest of who can fire more missiles into the water or fly planes over things.
18/x
#NorthKorea
Any improvement to the #NorthKorea situation requires steady diplomacy and economic pressure from a united international community.
19/x
No matter where this goes, the United States is in a better position with local allies, namely #SouthKorea and #Japan.
#NorthKoreaNukes
20/x
Pushing #SouthKorea away, Trump weakens America's position. And with his bluster, Trump plays into Kim's hand.
#NorthKorea
21/x
The president says #NorthKorea "only understands one thing."
He speaks in cliches, ignoring that threats help, rather than hurt Kim.
22/x
All Trump's doing is creating uncertainty, increasing the chances miscalculation or accident will cause a war no one wants
#NorthKorea
(END)
You've both cited the strategy which is counter to what has been the status quo since the 1950s. Effecting change does require change.
True, and Trump doesn't think enough of South Korea to appoint an Ambassador to this critical ally.
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