Now Senate parliamentarian ruled #BCRA can't pass without 60 votes. It changes regulations, not just budget.
http://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/343234-parliamentarian-deals-setback-to-gop-healthcare-bill …
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That's yet another blow to Republicans'
#healthcare plans. And it shows why#Obamacare was an impressive political achievement. 3/x -
The
#ACA got 60 votes, and changed regulations, as well as spending. That makes it hard to undo (for better or worse). 4/x#Trumpcare -
Republicans can repeal
#Obamacare's spending provisions with 50 (+VP tiebreak), but can't replace (or change) the regulations 5/x#Trumpcare -
They could change reconciliation rules. But if they can't get 50 for
#BCRA, they won't get 50 to change the rules to pass it. 6/x#Trumpcare -
That means the only options are: 1) Repeal subsidies, taxes, and individual mandate (a tax according to Supreme Court) 7/x
#Trumpcare -
That would crash the individual
#healthcare market, causing premiums to spike, and millions to lose insurance. 8/x#Trumpcare -
Option 2: work with Democrats (sacrilege!) to improve
#Obamacare. But that would anger their base. And keep the#ACA's taxes. 9/x#Trumpcarepic.twitter.com/ChTJVHLDiO
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#McConnell's threatening to hold vote anyway. Protects him from conservatives, & forces moderates to block#ObamacareRepeal. 10/x#Trumpcare -
#Trump's threatening to "let#Obamacare fail" (which means sabotage it). 11/x#Trumpcarehttp://www.thedailybeast.com/team-trump-used-obamacare-money-to-run-ads-against-it … -
The idea is Democrats will care about Americans losing insurance, and agree to Republicans'
#Trumpcare plans as better than nothing. 12/x -
But that's gambling that: 1) Voters won't blame the party in power 2) Democrats will save Trump and Republicans politically 13/x
#Trumpcare -
Senate reconciliation rules mean Republicans'
#healthcare plans are stuck. Can't do it with 50 votes. No way to 60. 14/x#Trumpcare -
Democrats won't mind Republicans fighting each other over
#Obamacare repeal that can't pass the Senate. 15/x#Trumpcare -
Dems would prefer to improve
#ACA. But, barring that, won't complain about Republicans running out the clock with#Trumpcare fails. 16/16
End of conversation
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