And terrorists are often too mentally unstable or stupid to make rational judgments about the consequences of their attacks.
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That's one of the big reasons why attacks sometimes backfire. It's extremely difficult to predict exactly how people and governments will react to violence.
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Idk, political terrorist are traditionally best know for their SWOT Analysis skills
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Uninformed "cui bono"-based analyses can easily be made to contradict themselves. Great illustration of the problems with "unknown unknowns".
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Who benefits from committing an act of political terror can be mutually exclusive from who benefits from exploiting an act that already occurred.
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