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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Hi. Terrorism professor here. If you're wondering why I haven't commented on today's attempted bombings, it's because we don't know enough yet. The only thing I can say with confidence is some of you speculating and accusing are crawling out onto limbs that'll get sawed off soon.

      35 replies 436 retweets 1,539 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Enough public info now for early analysis of the attempted bombings. THREAD--Will update as more info becomes public. First, this fits the definition of terrorism: Non-combatant targets, violent (at least one device confirmed active), almost certainly political. 1/x

      1 reply 40 retweets 141 likes
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    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Terrorism, by definition, is political. By contrast, criminal violence is for personal reasons. Violence by drug traffickers trying to make money, angry person seeking revenge, etc. aren't terrorism. 2/x

      3 replies 17 retweets 107 likes
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    4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Targeting a political figure is not necessarily terrorism. For example, Jared Loughner targeted Rep. Gabby Giffords and killed a judge. But he was schizophrenic and attacked Giffords because he believed she snubbed him at a rally years ago. Personal, not terrorism. 3/x

      5 replies 12 retweets 103 likes
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    5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      But simultaneously attacking multiple political figures (Clintons, Obamas, Soros, John Brennan and others) indicates a clear political motive. That makes it terrorism. And at least some of the bombs have the same design, which indicates they have the same maker. 4/x

      4 replies 28 retweets 116 likes
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    6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Nicholas Grossman Retweeted Jim Acosta

      Here's photos of the bomb sent to CNN. A few things jump out: 1) No postmark. Packages sent through the mail are required to have a postmark on the side with the address. Could be an error, but likely indicates package hand-delivered, not mailed. 5/xhttps://twitter.com/Acosta/status/1055147149158219778 …

      Nicholas Grossman added,

      Jim AcostaVerified account @Acosta
      Photos of the bomb and package sent to CNN pic.twitter.com/nBq3ArtChJ
      3 replies 12 retweets 82 likes
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    7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      2) On bomb package sent to CNN, "Florida" misspelled in return address, "Brennan" misspelled in address, and Brennan contributes to MSNBC, not CNN. There's a widespread assumption that terrorists are smart--basically supervillains with elaborate plots--but often they're not. 6/x

      4 replies 18 retweets 114 likes
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    8. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Terrorism is hard. Many instances of attempted attacks failing because the attacker messed up. Seen speculation that the bombs not going off is some sort of indicator. Most likely, it's just that law enforcement is good at what they do, and this terrorist is an amateur. 7/x

      2 replies 13 retweets 93 likes
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    9. Alison Meek‏ @Aly_Meek Oct 24
      Replying to @NGrossman81

      Always makes me think of the IRA quote (paraphrased below) after a failed attack against Thatcher: You have to be lucky all the time. We have to be lucky once.

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24
      Replying to @Aly_Meek

      Yup, that's a classic. Similarly, there's the David Galula argument: the insurgent can disrupt security anywhere while the counterinsurgent must provide security everywhere.

      1:35 PM - 24 Oct 2018 from Urbana, IL
      • 1 Like
      • Alison Meek
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Alison Meek‏ @Aly_Meek Oct 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          Hadn't heard this one before. We talk in class a great deal about the difficulties of counterterrorism and countering asymmetrical warfare.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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