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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Hi. Terrorism professor here. If you're wondering why I haven't commented on today's attempted bombings, it's because we don't know enough yet. The only thing I can say with confidence is some of you speculating and accusing are crawling out onto limbs that'll get sawed off soon.

      35 replies 436 retweets 1,539 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Enough public info now for early analysis of the attempted bombings. THREAD--Will update as more info becomes public. First, this fits the definition of terrorism: Non-combatant targets, violent (at least one device confirmed active), almost certainly political. 1/x

      1 reply 40 retweets 141 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Terrorism, by definition, is political. By contrast, criminal violence is for personal reasons. Violence by drug traffickers trying to make money, angry person seeking revenge, etc. aren't terrorism. 2/x

      3 replies 17 retweets 107 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Targeting a political figure is not necessarily terrorism. For example, Jared Loughner targeted Rep. Gabby Giffords and killed a judge. But he was schizophrenic and attacked Giffords because he believed she snubbed him at a rally years ago. Personal, not terrorism. 3/x

      5 replies 12 retweets 103 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      But simultaneously attacking multiple political figures (Clintons, Obamas, Soros, John Brennan and others) indicates a clear political motive. That makes it terrorism. And at least some of the bombs have the same design, which indicates they have the same maker. 4/x

      4 replies 28 retweets 116 likes
      Show this thread
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

      Nicholas Grossman Retweeted Jim Acosta

      Here's photos of the bomb sent to CNN. A few things jump out: 1) No postmark. Packages sent through the mail are required to have a postmark on the side with the address. Could be an error, but likely indicates package hand-delivered, not mailed. 5/xhttps://twitter.com/Acosta/status/1055147149158219778 …

      Nicholas Grossman added,

      Jim AcostaVerified account @Acosta
      Photos of the bomb and package sent to CNN pic.twitter.com/nBq3ArtChJ
      11:56 AM - 24 Oct 2018 from Urbana, IL
      • 12 Retweets
      • 82 Likes
      • Eli🎃 Ronald D. Potts 🇺🇲 Walk_away Ken Suzuki Kyle Morrison Zoraktober 🏴‍☠️ not sure 🏴 Andre 习安徳 Pubescent Frog of Silent War
      3 replies 12 retweets 82 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          2) On bomb package sent to CNN, "Florida" misspelled in return address, "Brennan" misspelled in address, and Brennan contributes to MSNBC, not CNN. There's a widespread assumption that terrorists are smart--basically supervillains with elaborate plots--but often they're not. 6/x

          4 replies 18 retweets 114 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          Terrorism is hard. Many instances of attempted attacks failing because the attacker messed up. Seen speculation that the bombs not going off is some sort of indicator. Most likely, it's just that law enforcement is good at what they do, and this terrorist is an amateur. 7/x

          2 replies 13 retweets 93 likes
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        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          Class starting, back with more later 8/x

          2 replies 4 retweets 55 likes
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        5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          Nicholas Grossman Retweeted

          Likely some who delivered the packages recorded on camera. CNN package had no postmark, but not sure about others. A courier would be a better lead than a mail carrier. No idea if bomber delivered one in person. Investigators surely looking into this. 9/x https://twitter.com/capitalistpeeg/status/1055199997308952577 …

          Nicholas Grossman added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          4 replies 14 retweets 54 likes
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        6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          Zoom in on bomb sent to CNN. Appears to be ISIS flag on device. Given amateurishness of attack, almost certainly not ISIS itself. Could be ISIS sympathizer. Could also be someone(s) who thought this would send investigators in wrong direction. Noteworthy, but need more info. 10/xpic.twitter.com/DNzs0ZND18

          8 replies 7 retweets 52 likes
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        7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          Nicholas Grossman Retweeted

          UPDATE: What looked like ISIS flag on pipe bomb sent to CNN appears to be a parody. Thanks to readers who pointed it out. Amateurishness of bombs already indicated unlikely ISIS, but parody flag means not ISIS sympathizer or law enforcement misdirect. 11/x https://twitter.com/SkagBaron/status/1055220250696810496 …

          Nicholas Grossman added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          2 replies 10 retweets 57 likes
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        8. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          Nicholas Grossman Retweeted

          Rhetoric can motivate violence. And not just direct incitement. That being said, I think it's irresponsible to assume terrorist(s) who haven't been identified or released any statement were motivated by any specific rhetoric based on chosen targets. 12/x https://twitter.com/Duncans_Eggs/status/1055213492771450880 …

          Nicholas Grossman added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          2 replies 6 retweets 43 likes
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        9. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24

          Good example of incorrect speculation connecting rhetoric and violence: Giffords shooting in AZ. Sarah Palin released map of districts to "target," which some blamed for motivating shooter. Turns out shooter wasn't motivated by political rhetoric at all (see tweet 3 above). 13/x

          3 replies 9 retweets 52 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 25

          We don't know who sent the bombs yet. There's nothing lost--absolutely nothing--in waiting a few days for law enforcement to investigate. (END)

          1 reply 5 retweets 46 likes
          Show this thread
        11. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. KH‏ @labboypro Oct 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          [Good points. I realize I'm contradicting my previous postulate, but they're just paths of analysis, not held beliefs.] Hand delivered would require multiple actors given geographic distribution... which would require coordination to deliver in the timeframe.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. KH‏ @labboypro Oct 24
          Replying to @labboypro @NGrossman81

          Thus causing some conflict with "single maker" theory. Of course, it could be single maker who distributes to delivery team. Or multiple makers closely following single design plans. Or... specific device details we won't have access to could sort a lot of this out.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Oct 24
          Replying to @labboypro

          Clearly, we need to know more. But I take your point. It's easy to get a package delivered by courier in NYC rather than by mail, but if there are other packages in locations far from NYC that didn't go through the mail but arrived today, that suggests multiple people involved.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. End of conversation
        1. chaim Vail‏ @abivail_cpa Oct 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          I get plenty of mail that doesn't have a postmark. Isn't that more likely than a hand delivery with so many different targets?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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