There are two Kavanaugh nominations. Within America’s two big information universes, two unshakable narratives have taken hold. No matter how it turns out, these contradictory narratives will persist, doing lasting damage to the country. (THREAD)
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In the blue bubble, Brett Kavanaugh is a sexual predator—An attempted rapist (or worse) with deep, unredeemable character flaws. Blasey Ford’s accusation is established fact, and if Ramirez’ accusation isn’t yet, it will be soon. Even worse, Kavanaugh is unrepentant and lying 2/x
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In the blue bubble, Republicans know Kavanaugh is a sexual predator, and they’re trying to push him through anyway. He’s the personification of rich white male privilege—they want him to get away with it. After Garland fiasco, confirming Kavanaugh renders SCOTUS illegitimate. 3/x
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In the red bubble, Kavanaugh is an innocent man—an exemplary man—dragged through the mud by political opportunists. His accusers are lying, or at least mistaken. They’ve been put up to it, or at least manipulated, by Democrats, who will do anything to tar or delay the process 4/x
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In the red bubble, Democrats oppose Kavanaugh because he follows the Constitution and they want a Supreme Court that legislates progressive causes. If they get away with this manufactured smear campaign, they’ll learn it works, and do it against every future GOP nominee. 5/x
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The red and blue narratives are locked in. They can't both be true, and yet they both exist, side by side. Millions believe Kavanaugh is a sexual predator. Millions believe he's being framed. And no evidence, no testimony can convince them otherwise. 6/x
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I think accusations against Kavanaugh are serious, and probably impossible to prove or disprove. SCOTUS legitimacy matters, and it'd be better for the country and conservative causes to replace him with someone unclouded by personal integrity questions 7/xhttps://arcdigital.media/everyones-applying-the-wrong-standard-to-kavanaugh-s-nomination-9b5859209039?source=friends_link&sk=4973bf2f07aec042d2ede336c92a5dca …
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Replying to @NGrossman81
I appreciate your insight. If both sides can't find common ground - wait for the evidence to convict or clear Kavanaugh - and he's voted down or confirmed, the bubbles entrench. If he withdraws, both sides could wipe the slate clean and deal with a new nominee or entrench anyway.
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They'll entrench anyway somewhat (about everything). But I think it would play out differently if the nominee were someone who is squeaky-clean in his personal life (like Roberts or Gorsuch), especially if it's a woman.
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Replying to @NGrossman81
With Kavanaugh defiant in his latest letter - "these are smears, plain and simple," both sides surely will entrench, but there a handful of Senators are sitting on the fence. They will choose who gets the victory in this fight. No easy way out.
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