There are two Kavanaugh nominations. Within America’s two big information universes, two unshakable narratives have taken hold. No matter how it turns out, these contradictory narratives will persist, doing lasting damage to the country. (THREAD)
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PS1: Erick Erickson shared the 7th tweet of my thread (to disagree with it). His position, along with the replies to his tweet and mine, provide a good example of red bubble rejecting my argument (as I explained in tweet 8 above). https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1044267025944793089 …
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PS2: You'll notice a steadfast conviction that: 1) All accusations against Kavanaugh are false and invented by Dems 2) The same will happen with every future GOP nominee 3) Pointing out that no one accused Gorsuch, Alito, Roberts of sexual assault does not shake convictions 1 & 2
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PS3: In the variations of "believe women" and "I believe Dr. Blasey Ford," blue bubble steadfastly believes Kavanaugh is guilty of sexual assault. These two competing narratives dominate their respective information bubbles. They cannot be reconciled and will linger for years.
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Great summary. Tough to see what ultimately slows the growing tit for tat. Perhaps term limits for judges reduces the pressure of each appointment?
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Maybe. I've seen some decent arguments for a single, 15-year term, staggered so every presidential term can appoint the same number of judges. But there's still death and voluntarily stepping down early, and if the president's party doesn't control Senate, opposition could block.
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1/2 I think your premise of The-Right-does-it,-the-Left-does-it—-they're-all-the-same! is a false equivalence: yes, progressives are opposed to this unambiguous political operative on political grounds, but they're opposed to him in this process on grounds of perjury &c.
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2/2 The Democrats want a) an FBI investigation, and b) Republican Senators to ask their own ?s. By casting these demands as empty partisanship, you're saying—I think—that they're equal to a') Investigate? the FBI??, and b') optics > substance.
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3/2 [sorry] But yes, when it comes to compulsory incubation, there's not much conversation: the Left has, in my view, hardened its opposition to compulsory incubation in response to 40 years' conservative extremism.
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I don’t think they’re equivalent, and never said they were. I do, however, see similarities in the unshakable conviction each has that they’re right and the other’s wrong. What you wrote is an example of that.
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But your 'red bubble/blue bubble' comparison renders the "bubbles" equally bubbles (you do this explicitly in 10/), as you say you're unshakably convinced they are. That equality, I think, is false: one 'side' is impervious to empirical compulsion, the other, sensitive to it.
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What plausible evidence could emerge that would convince blue bubble that Kavanaugh did not do what Blasey Ford alleges?
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"Convince" is strong: for that, he'd have to have been demonstrably in a different place at that time. But yes, some—many—women lie: let the investigation proceed. At some point, doubt in either BF or K will become not a transcendental conviction, but enough for a SCOTUS seat.
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In terms not of red vs blue generally, but of this process, do you think the Senate Democrats' demands—BF's demands—are as reasonable/unreasonable as the Republicans' attempts at scheduling?
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Red bubble has 51 votes. Confirm and win.
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