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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

      There are two Kavanaugh nominations. Within America’s two big information universes, two unshakable narratives have taken hold. No matter how it turns out, these contradictory narratives will persist, doing lasting damage to the country. (THREAD)

      9 replies 29 retweets 58 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

      In the blue bubble, Brett Kavanaugh is a sexual predator—An attempted rapist (or worse) with deep, unredeemable character flaws. Blasey Ford’s accusation is established fact, and if Ramirez’ accusation isn’t yet, it will be soon. Even worse, Kavanaugh is unrepentant and lying 2/x

      1 reply 1 retweet 10 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

      In the blue bubble, Republicans know Kavanaugh is a sexual predator, and they’re trying to push him through anyway. He’s the personification of rich white male privilege—they want him to get away with it. After Garland fiasco, confirming Kavanaugh renders SCOTUS illegitimate. 3/x

      1 reply 2 retweets 11 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

      In the red bubble, Kavanaugh is an innocent man—an exemplary man—dragged through the mud by political opportunists. His accusers are lying, or at least mistaken. They’ve been put up to it, or at least manipulated, by Democrats, who will do anything to tar or delay the process 4/x

      1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

      In the red bubble, Democrats oppose Kavanaugh because he follows the Constitution and they want a Supreme Court that legislates progressive causes. If they get away with this manufactured smear campaign, they’ll learn it works, and do it against every future GOP nominee. 5/x

      2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

      The red and blue narratives are locked in. They can't both be true, and yet they both exist, side by side. Millions believe Kavanaugh is a sexual predator. Millions believe he's being framed. And no evidence, no testimony can convince them otherwise. 6/x

      6 replies 3 retweets 14 likes
      Show this thread
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

      I think accusations against Kavanaugh are serious, and probably impossible to prove or disprove. SCOTUS legitimacy matters, and it'd be better for the country and conservative causes to replace him with someone unclouded by personal integrity questions 7/xhttps://arcdigital.media/everyones-applying-the-wrong-standard-to-kavanaugh-s-nomination-9b5859209039?source=friends_link&sk=4973bf2f07aec042d2ede336c92a5dca …

      6:12 AM - 24 Sep 2018 from Urbana, IL
      • 8 Retweets
      • 36 Likes
      • Sam Karen Larson Chauncey Sam JustKause r/The_Donald watch Thomas (((ENDitALREADY))) Long WTFWJD? X-Wrigs Malcolm Threethousandfive 🕋🇲🇦🇲🇽🇵🇸🇨🇺
      22 replies 8 retweets 36 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

          Red bubble has rejected my argument. I point out that SCOTUS confirmations aren't criminal trials, so beyond a reasonable doubt isn't the appropriate standard. Roberts, Alito, and Gorsuch all cleared the high bar, and another conservative could too. Red bubble disagrees. 8/x

          4 replies 1 retweet 22 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

          The partisan fight is all-consuming. Because red bubble’s unshakable premise is Dems are unjustly smearing Kavanaugh, giving in elevates mob justice, incentivizing future made up accusations. And Dems might win the Senate, blocking any conservative. It’s Kavanaugh or bust. 9/x

          3 replies 2 retweets 10 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

          Blue bubble's caught up in the partisan fight too. Kavanaugh's position on abortion today is evidence he committed attempted rape in high school. Other white, prep school, ivy league men have committed sexual assault, which makes him more suspect. He's more symbol than man. 10/x

          4 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

          In a little while, Kavanaugh will withdraw, get confirmed, or voted down. But the competing red and blue narratives about him will persist. The wounds will fester, no matter how it turns out. And the judicial wars will continue to escalate. The system cannot hold forever. (END)

          4 replies 5 retweets 26 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

          Nicholas Grossman Retweeted

          PS1: Erick Erickson shared the 7th tweet of my thread (to disagree with it). His position, along with the replies to his tweet and mine, provide a good example of red bubble rejecting my argument (as I explained in tweet 8 above). https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1044267025944793089 …

          Nicholas Grossman added,

          This Tweet is unavailable.
          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
          Show this thread
        7. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

          PS2: You'll notice a steadfast conviction that: 1) All accusations against Kavanaugh are false and invented by Dems 2) The same will happen with every future GOP nominee 3) Pointing out that no one accused Gorsuch, Alito, Roberts of sexual assault does not shake convictions 1 & 2

          2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24

          PS3: In the variations of "believe women" and "I believe Dr. Blasey Ford," blue bubble steadfastly believes Kavanaugh is guilty of sexual assault. These two competing narratives dominate their respective information bubbles. They cannot be reconciled and will linger for years.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
          Show this thread
        9. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Corey Uhden‏ @CACoreyU Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          Good analysis. Saving.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24
          Replying to @CACoreyU

          Thanks, I appreciate you saying that.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Corey Uhden‏ @CACoreyU Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          I appreciate your insight. If both sides can't find common ground - wait for the evidence to convict or clear Kavanaugh - and he's voted down or confirmed, the bubbles entrench. If he withdraws, both sides could wipe the slate clean and deal with a new nominee or entrench anyway.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24
          Replying to @CACoreyU

          They'll entrench anyway somewhat (about everything). But I think it would play out differently if the nominee were someone who is squeaky-clean in his personal life (like Roberts or Gorsuch), especially if it's a woman.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        6. Corey Uhden‏ @CACoreyU Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81

          With Kavanaugh defiant in his latest letter - "these are smears, plain and simple," both sides surely will entrench, but there a handful of Senators are sitting on the fence. They will choose who gets the victory in this fight. No easy way out.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Fluffington Hoax‏ @FluffingtonHoax Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @ArcDigi

          Perhaps the way forward is a change whereby the Senate nominates candidates and a referendum is held whereby the voting public choose the their Judges for life. It's got to be better than trial by media, cheaper and above all fair.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24
          Replying to @FluffingtonHoax @ArcDigi

          I don't see a Constitutional amendment that strips the executive of the power to nominate judges as remotely likely.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Fluffington Hoax‏ @FluffingtonHoax Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @ArcDigi

          Do you think its a better system? A 200 plus year old system that to the voter appears foundered on shifting sentiments of a vocal and empowered electorate should suggest a revision. What do you think of change?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24
          Replying to @FluffingtonHoax @ArcDigi

          I don't think a popular referendum would be better. Subjecting judges to electoral politics, especially at that level, creates problematic incentives. For example, they'd fund-raise.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Fluffington Hoax‏ @FluffingtonHoax Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @ArcDigi

          No mate, the Senate nominates them. There's no lobbying that already isn't going on and let's be objective; it could not be more political than it is today. When I think of what is going to happen when a Dem Gov proposes a liberal candidate in the future, believing this system

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Joshua Stein‏ @thephilosotroll Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @ArcDigi

          Yeah... but it’s a slippery slope to not being able to nominate accused sexual predators for President or Speaker of the House.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Warren Oats‏ @OatsWarren Sep 24
          Replying to @thephilosotroll @NGrossman81 @ArcDigi

          Right, so let’s definitely convict people without eyewitnesses or hard evidence. Hearsay rules the day moving forward. I’m sure these new rules will never bite you in the ass.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 24
          Replying to @OatsWarren @thephilosotroll @ArcDigi

          Convict? No. I explicitly argue in the article that the publicly available evidence does not meet the beyond-a-reasonable-doubt standard for conviction in a criminal trial. But we're not talking about a criminal trial.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Warren Oats‏ @OatsWarren Sep 24
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @thephilosotroll @ArcDigi

          Yes, we all know this is not an actual criminal trial. But it is literally a “show trial” designed to convict the man as a sexual predator in the court of public opinion.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        6. End of conversation

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