There are two Kavanaugh nominations. Within America’s two big information universes, two unshakable narratives have taken hold. No matter how it turns out, these contradictory narratives will persist, doing lasting damage to the country. (THREAD)
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The red and blue narratives are locked in. They can't both be true, and yet they both exist, side by side. Millions believe Kavanaugh is a sexual predator. Millions believe he's being framed. And no evidence, no testimony can convince them otherwise. 6/x
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I think accusations against Kavanaugh are serious, and probably impossible to prove or disprove. SCOTUS legitimacy matters, and it'd be better for the country and conservative causes to replace him with someone unclouded by personal integrity questions 7/xhttps://arcdigital.media/everyones-applying-the-wrong-standard-to-kavanaugh-s-nomination-9b5859209039?source=friends_link&sk=4973bf2f07aec042d2ede336c92a5dca …
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Red bubble has rejected my argument. I point out that SCOTUS confirmations aren't criminal trials, so beyond a reasonable doubt isn't the appropriate standard. Roberts, Alito, and Gorsuch all cleared the high bar, and another conservative could too. Red bubble disagrees. 8/x
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The partisan fight is all-consuming. Because red bubble’s unshakable premise is Dems are unjustly smearing Kavanaugh, giving in elevates mob justice, incentivizing future made up accusations. And Dems might win the Senate, blocking any conservative. It’s Kavanaugh or bust. 9/x
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Blue bubble's caught up in the partisan fight too. Kavanaugh's position on abortion today is evidence he committed attempted rape in high school. Other white, prep school, ivy league men have committed sexual assault, which makes him more suspect. He's more symbol than man. 10/x
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In a little while, Kavanaugh will withdraw, get confirmed, or voted down. But the competing red and blue narratives about him will persist. The wounds will fester, no matter how it turns out. And the judicial wars will continue to escalate. The system cannot hold forever. (END)
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PS1: Erick Erickson shared the 7th tweet of my thread (to disagree with it). His position, along with the replies to his tweet and mine, provide a good example of red bubble rejecting my argument (as I explained in tweet 8 above). https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1044267025944793089 …
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PS2: You'll notice a steadfast conviction that: 1) All accusations against Kavanaugh are false and invented by Dems 2) The same will happen with every future GOP nominee 3) Pointing out that no one accused Gorsuch, Alito, Roberts of sexual assault does not shake convictions 1 & 2
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PS3: In the variations of "believe women" and "I believe Dr. Blasey Ford," blue bubble steadfastly believes Kavanaugh is guilty of sexual assault. These two competing narratives dominate their respective information bubbles. They cannot be reconciled and will linger for years.
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End of conversation
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honest q..did gorsuch only escape because kennedy hadn't retired yet do you think? two seats was a bridge too far? (ftr i didn't like kavanaugh from the jump and thought him a bad candidate, and i can also see him participating in the things he is accused of)
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