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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Avi Woolf, WTF Conservative 🌍‏ @AviWoolf Sep 21

      Avi Woolf, WTF Conservative 🌍 Retweeted Nicholas Grossman

      1) They're afraid they can't get a new candidate through in time for November. 2) They're afraid withdrawing will lead to even more depressed turnout. 3) Many are afraid of setting a precedent of "guilty until proven innocent" based on the media rather than a hearing.https://twitter.com/NGrossman81/status/1043135053159649280 …

      Avi Woolf, WTF Conservative 🌍 added,

      Nicholas Grossman @NGrossman81
      Why not replace Kavanaugh? I keep returning to this. It'd be better for the country and grant greater legitimacy to conservative rulings. The answer I'm left with: Fighting Democrats is all-consuming. They must suffer--even if it hurts the country and risks long-term policy goals
      6 replies 1 retweet 27 likes
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 21
      Replying to @AviWoolf

      Possible they fear it, but all 3 misguided. 1) Ignores changes Kavanaugh gets voted down 2) They'd get equally excited behind a new nom. Losing vote could depress turnout too. 3) Based on incredibly cynical, unsubstantiated assumption that every future nominee gets accused.

      6:55 AM - 21 Sep 2018 from Urbana, IL
      • 5 Likes
      • Bix in black ~She Persists & Resists~ dW 🌿 Aph NOLA JT
      5 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @AviWoolf

          Also, note that those three possibilities all fit within the partisan fight framework. 1) Don't let Dems delay! 2) Don't let Dems win in November! 3) Don't let Dems see that accusing nominees can sink their chances!

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Aph‏ @theLazyAphorist Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @AviWoolf

          On #3, I honestly don't get why no one is pointing out how Gorsuch had none of these issues at a time when the bitter partisan wounds were even more raw (immediate post-election). Seems somewhat relevant.

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 21
          Replying to @theLazyAphorist @AviWoolf

          I'm pointing that out constantly. Also, if Democrats were going to make up sexual assault allegations against political opponents, they would've gone after McConnell, Ryan, and others. It's so cynical, so nonsensical, that it's hard to believe people believe it.

          4 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        5. Avi Woolf, WTF Conservative 🌍‏ @AviWoolf Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @theLazyAphorist

          I don't get why he was chosen in the first place, really. A strong legal mind, sure, and Kennedy vouched for him but even McC said he would cause problems.

          3 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
        6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 21
          Replying to @AviWoolf @theLazyAphorist

          My guess is he's the one most likely to rule that the president can't be subpoenaed, or otherwise subject to the law.

          0 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
        7. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. BH‏ @Benignuman Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @AviWoolf

          On No. 1, it is question of odds. What is more likely, that they will be able to get another nominee in under the wire, or that Kavanaugh will get voted down?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Avi Woolf, WTF Conservative 🌍‏ @AviWoolf Sep 21
          Replying to @Benignuman @NGrossman81

          At this point? Voted down given all the candidate's problems. Gorsuch at least got some D support. K will be straight party-line at best.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. BH‏ @Benignuman Sep 21
          Replying to @AviWoolf @NGrossman81

          I agree. But you know the Dems will kick and scream about how rushed the process is with the new nominee. I think that is the reason they are so desparate to get the hearing in on Monday. They want the chance to put in another nominee if the hearing goes badly.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Avi Woolf, WTF Conservative 🌍‏ @AviWoolf Sep 21
          Replying to @Benignuman @NGrossman81

          Let them complain. But I want someone who will at least be a Gorsuch - strongly conservative but clean personally. I think even Dems would prefer that to this.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 21
          Replying to @AviWoolf @Benignuman

          Maybe a few hyper-partisan Democrats would prefer someone they can attack more easily. But that's incredibly cynical, bad for the country, and should be dismissed out of hand.

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        7. Avi Woolf, WTF Conservative 🌍‏ @AviWoolf Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @Benignuman

          People like Hirono are not helping, but I agree. There's still a list. Pick a name out of a hat if you have to.

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        8. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Will Truman‏ @trumwill Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @AviWoolf

          I think they're betting hard that he won't get voted down. Which, I think they're still on track to being right, though others disagree. They are hedging a bit by making sure to avoid delay so that they can go to Plan B if they have to.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Will Truman‏ @trumwill Sep 21
          Replying to @trumwill @NGrossman81 @AviWoolf

          But I think the main risk with senators yanking Kavanaugh is that they won't have Trump's cooperation to fast-track a replacement. He'd likely be peeved, he doesn't care as much as they do, and defending people accused of sexual misconduct is something he actually believes in.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 21
          Replying to @trumwill @AviWoolf

          That's a fair point. White House-Congress dysfunction could make it hard. Though if they're not already planning another nominee as a contingency, they're even worse at this than I thought.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. End of conversation
        1. Tom Neven‏ @TomNeven1 Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @AviWoolf

          #3 is guaranteed if Dems get away with it this time.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. rockmom‏ @rockmom Sep 21
          Replying to @NGrossman81 @AviWoolf

          The whole “legitimacy of future rulings” business is crap. There’s only one ruling anyone cares about. The rest will be forgotten.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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