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NGrossman81's profile
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
Nicholas Grossman
@NGrossman81

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Nicholas Grossman

@NGrossman81

International Relations prof at U. Illinois. Senior Editor @ArcDigi. Author “Drones and Terrorism.” Politics, national security, and occasional nerdery.

amazon.com/Drones-Terrori…
Joined April 2015

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    1. Spooky DEAD Talk  🎃 🎃 🎃‏Verified account @profmusgrave Sep 12

      Under what circumstances would a nuclear strike on American soil tend to help or hurt an incumbent president?

      16 replies 2 retweets 10 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Spooky DEAD Talk  🎃 🎃 🎃‏Verified account @profmusgrave Sep 12

      Theory points to two opposite answers btw

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
      Show this thread
    3. David Burbach‏ @dburbach Sep 12
      Replying to @profmusgrave

      Do we have any actual cases of an attack of any sort harming a President in the near term? If war precipitated by such attack drags on inconclusively, yes, but the attack itself?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. David Burbach‏ @dburbach Sep 12
      Replying to @dburbach @profmusgrave

      Rally effect in such cases -- as opposed to generic "POTUS uses force far away for some reason" -- seems very, very strong.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Spooky DEAD Talk  🎃 🎃 🎃‏Verified account @profmusgrave Sep 12
      Replying to @dburbach

      Bush was at, essentially, 100% approval ratings after 9/11. Which was a massive policy failure!

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 12
      Replying to @profmusgrave @dburbach

      Benghazi arguably hurt Obama (and later Clinton). Though that wasn't on US soil, and much smaller-scale than a hypothetical nuclear attack. For your original question, I think I'm going to wimp out and say it'd be too much of an outlier. Also probably varies with the president.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Spooky DEAD Talk  🎃 🎃 🎃‏Verified account @profmusgrave Sep 12
      Replying to @NGrossman81 @dburbach

      did benghazi have that effect *in the short term* or only once it had been the subject of the hearings etc? honest q.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Nicholas Grossman‏ @NGrossman81 Sep 12
      Replying to @profmusgrave @dburbach

      Benghazi attack was 9/11/12. Obama overall approval rating, and rating on foreign affairs, don't appear to show any lasting negative effect. I also checked Gallup's weekly numbers: 9/9/12: 50% 9/16: 50% 9/23: 49% 9/30: 48% 10/7: 52% No short-term effect either.pic.twitter.com/4FNl24WUc7

      11:35 AM - 12 Sep 2018 from Urbana, IL
      • 1 Like
      • Spooky DEAD Talk 🎃🎃🎃
      0 replies 0 retweets 1 like

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