Your question implies a certain logic or at least normal decision making capacity. I suspect Trump has a mental deficiency which prevents his ability to operate like that. He's impulsive and reactive not decisive - among other problems.
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That fits under not realize.
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He lives in an alternative reality where Putin can't be all that bad because he likes Trump.
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I’ll file that under didn’t realize. It wouldn’t be too shocking if he was so myopically focused on himself that he made such a big mistake, though he’s usually good at anticipating public reactions.
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He's good at anticipating public reactions, except when they contradict the fragile narrative he's arranged in his head to explain why he's great. It's why he stumbles on simple stuff like inauguration crowd size, turning non-issue into issue. He's a malignant narcissist.
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It's why he can't being himself to fully condemn Nazi protesters, because at the end of the day, they DO like Trump.
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* bring
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“I could fawn all over Putin on 5th Avenue and not lose any voters!”
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It's what happens when all you do is speak at rallies and surround yourselves with sycophants. Reality doesn't give a f**k about rallies.
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