Catastrophe for the Lib Dems
Net seat changes prediction from @StephenDFisher at Oxford (and also of the GE exit poll team):
CON +8
LAB +131
LD -83
https://electionsetc.com/2018/05/02/forecasting-local-election-seat-gains-losses-2018/ …pic.twitter.com/5QxOtforCy
-
-
-
Which will be wrong. Many of these tea leave readers predicted the LDs wd slump to 3 seats in the GE and they put on 4.
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Those ranges are huge That would be an awful night for the Lib Dems
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
- Show replies
-
-
-
Labour and Lib Dem range is just over 500 but Conservative range is over 900, how does that happen?
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
i'm glad that it's been definitively established that parties will either lose or gain seats tomorrow
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
That Cons forecast range is basically an admission that they have no idea.
-
Uncertainty is a feature, not a bug
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
It'll be interesting to see the actual result & then compare.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.