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MustStopMurad's profile
Murad Mahmudov 🚀
Murad Mahmudov 🚀
Murad Mahmudov  🚀
@MustStopMurad

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Murad Mahmudov  🚀

@MustStopMurad

Cryptocurrency Analyst. Bitcoin, not Blockchain. Angel Investor. Previously @Princeton.

New York, NY
Joined March 2017

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    1. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 8
      Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

      Do you think fixed-supply is a problem for future lending, and why?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 8
      Replying to @MustStopMurad

      Basic economics. You borrow 100 coins. Year later lender has to recieve some 105 (to profit and cover for risk). If the value of the coin increased by 20% due to fixed supply you are paying real interest rate of 25%. Unbearable.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 8
      Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

      Wouldn’t Bitcoin’s value at final equilibrium grow at 3-4% purhasing power per year?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 8
      Replying to @MustStopMurad

      Under some conditions it would grow at the pace of global real GDP, so yes. Conditions: that come to mind: 1) Stable velocity of money (BTC) (Unpredictable in long run IMHO). 2) Final equilibrium = Other forms of money/assets that are being replaced by BTC no longer exist.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 8
      Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

      so it wouldn’t jump by a “sudden 20%”, wouldn’t be a “roughly predictable 3%” which would be factored into the loans/credit?

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 9
      Replying to @MustStopMurad

      3) So sudden 20% swings are very unlikely in cca 5 years (similarly to exchange rates of big stable currencies).

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 9
      Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

      3% appreciation of currency’s value per year doesn’t prevent lending

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 9
      Replying to @MustStopMurad

      If you have alternatives than it prevents landing. 3% appreciation compared to 2% inflation makes 5% difference on real interest rate.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 9
      Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

      People will still lend for things which they think can beat 3%/year riskless growth

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 9
      Replying to @MustStopMurad

      I have spent a lot of time figuring how to have three kinds of money (I. BTC = best store of value + transaction money II. Fiat like inflationary money/crypto for cheap lending III. Hyperinflation money used by governments instead of taxes) working together. Not easy.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 9
      Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

      I have too. According to Thier's Law, eventually, everyone will hoard Bitcoin currency and the bad money will inflate faster and faster, to a point where people don't *want* to accept the bad money. They will demand to receive Bitcoin for their products and services.

      11:35 AM - 9 May 2018
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 9
          Replying to @MustStopMurad

          I know. I'm trying to come up with a set of rules to have both money in circulation in win/win situation for everyone involved. The key factor is interest paid on bad money by the issuer of that money.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 9
          Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

          Only money which people HOLD on their balance sheet for months/years at a time can have a big market capitalization... If any currency would be inflationary, it would be seen as “hot potatoes”.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 9
          Replying to @MustStopMurad

          Unless you can hold such a currency and receive interest for holding.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 9
          Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

          Doubt that would still be as good as the mildly deflationary Bitcoin

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        6. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 9
          Replying to @MustStopMurad

          I fully accept BTC's superiority. I'm just looking for a way to make it even better by creating another currency that can coexist and offer the one quality that BTC will not be able to for many years and possibly never, cheap lending.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad May 9
          Replying to @Zdenek_Ros

          It just makes no sense to me how a civilization could store value in one coin and use another for lending. It doesn’t add up🙂

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        8. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 10
          Replying to @MustStopMurad

          Financial world isn't aiming for simple solution. Do the current fiat, stocks, futures, derivatives, precious metals markets add up to you? If so for how long have you known them? Fiat is dominant for many decades now yet it never was good store of value so others flourished too.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        9. Zde Ro‏ @Zdenek_Ros May 10
          Replying to @Zdenek_Ros @MustStopMurad

          I expect BTC to become dominant with is capacity to be superior store of value and medium of exchange. But it is no good at being basis of credit or postponed payment, not now, not for many years to come and possibly never. Other forms of money will be needed.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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