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MustStopMurad's profile
Murad Mahmudov 🚀
Murad Mahmudov 🚀
Murad Mahmudov  🚀
@MustStopMurad

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Murad Mahmudov  🚀

@MustStopMurad

Cryptocurrency Analyst. Bitcoin, not Blockchain. Angel Investor. Previously @Princeton.

New York, NY
Joined March 2017

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    1. Willy Woo‏ @woonomic Jul 27

      Sentiment is bullish, but I doubt we'll break $8.5k volume profile PoC & 200MA. I think sideways, then downwards over the coming weeks to complete the third dead kitten, sliding downwards until a sustained sideways period to normalise volatility and NVT and a bull setup for 2019.pic.twitter.com/K3wtuRsldj

      73 replies 215 retweets 782 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Willy Woo‏ @woonomic Aug 13

      The 3rd dead kitten. Fractally speaking, I'm framing this last down leg as an oscillation around the main move. The green line is just magic crayons for short range TAs to determine, the retest target and rate of decline are the things I'm watching. NVT only mildly supports this.pic.twitter.com/Yv9mWwXhMd

      29 replies 66 retweets 261 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Willy Woo‏ @woonomic Aug 15

      Leveraged short positions now near all time high. Anyone got a spare $35m in their trade account? Should be enough to trigger all those stops for a payday. See 12th April 2018. (Be care shorting out there.)pic.twitter.com/dpHGoOGjrc

      21 replies 57 retweets 231 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Willy Woo‏ @woonomic Sep 9

      Prep for it. Our most probable path is to break below 5800 support and some free fall. Whether we bounce for another oscillation, or fall through here is TBD. The next support is 4900, which should slow the drop, but 4400 is the next real line of defence. Completes the 3rd cat.pic.twitter.com/bHdsmVfHCh

      24 replies 77 retweets 231 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Willy Woo‏ @woonomic Sep 9

      NVT Signal trendline support is teetering, we could bounce up for another round to ATH overbought before she breaks. Best to watch for this line breaking, it will likely signal the next major move down within a day or two. (Note: NVT as a trading indicator is still experimental)pic.twitter.com/c2IRyxRhP2

      4 replies 13 retweets 47 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Andrew Kang‏ @Rewkang Sep 9
      Replying to @woonomic

      Andrew Kang Retweeted Andrew Kang

      Please see this regarding NVT Signal:https://twitter.com/Rewkang/status/1038682791938994176 …

      Andrew Kang added,

      Andrew Kang @Rewkang
      As Bitcoin’s supposed primary function shifts from MOE to SOV, we should reset our thinking of indicators. We should not expect price to correlate with traditional NVT signals. In addition to more transactions occurring off chain, Tx volume is less tied to its core utility https://twitter.com/cburniske/status/1038016484944097280 …
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Willy Woo‏ @woonomic Sep 9
      Replying to @Rewkang

      MoE was an analogy that lead to its discovery. My hunch is that it will stay relevant until the era of ETFs. when settled trades stay off-chain. (hidden velocity). MoE was never dominant for BTC apart from a short 2yr SilkRoad period, NVT worked best during the SoV era after.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Andrew Kang‏ @Rewkang Sep 9
      Replying to @woonomic

      Over time, the amount of Onchain Tx vs Offchain Tx will increase. This has shift happened substantially over the past year, and will continue to. Would be interesting to explore an adjusted (for estimated offchain Tx) NVT signal.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Andrew Kang‏ @Rewkang Sep 9
      Replying to @Rewkang @woonomic

      Don't think it's currently appropriate to compare NVT signal values from today with those from 1 year ago, or even 6 months ago.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Andrew Kang‏ @Rewkang Sep 9
      Replying to @Rewkang @woonomic

      NVT can still be relevant in a post ETF era, but needs to be adjusted for % onchain Tx. It's also important to keep in mind, that the narrative shift from MOE to SOV was a gradual change over time. A non-neglible % of users were valuing BTC from a MOE perspective even a year ago.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad Oct 8
      Replying to @Rewkang @woonomic

      no one was valuing BTC from an MOE perspective because there is no such thing as an MOE perspective. Money's functions of SoV and MoE are inextricably linked and cannot be analyzed separately.

      9:15 AM - 8 Oct 2018
      • 1 Like
      • danthedecentralist
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Andrew Kang‏ @Rewkang Oct 8
          Replying to @MustStopMurad @woonomic

          E-cash perspective would be a more apt description of the narrative I was referring to. This is inclusive of MOE & SOV, but 2-3 years ago (and to an extent now), there was a notion that Bitcoin's success relied on it being adopted as e-cash.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Andrew Kang‏ @Rewkang Oct 8
          Replying to @Rewkang @MustStopMurad @woonomic

          The idea that Bitcoin must become a good SOV, before becoming a good MOE has only matured more recently. Being in these specific CT bubbles, I think sometimes we forget that the general dialogue & thinking around Bitcoin is a step or two behind. Even among large market players.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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