Add to that 9. Near record high shorts 10. Trade wars 11. Rising interest rates 12. Fiat troubles globally 13. Bakkt market makers accumulation 14. Miner profitability bottoming
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9. shorts have come down a lot 10. Bitcoin is way too small to be connected with trade wars yet 11. Interest Rates going up makes fiat currency stronger... 12. Dollar is stronger than ever 13. Bakkt is overhyped 14. In what world is that bullish?pic.twitter.com/AKTgSGKS6h
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9. Shorts still very elevated historically rel to longs, oversold 10. Btc is small, any move to safe havens from trade wars is massively bullish 11. Interest rates going up is bearish fiat, debt service 12. Dollar index is weak 13. Bakkt is huge for such a small market as btc
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9. the long/short ratio is breakeven dude 10. btc is way too small to be correlated to the macroeconomy, it's not on the balance sheets of any large asset managers 11.
12. DXY is historically high, it will see more inflows of EM collapses, USD is safe have, BTC not
13.
pic.twitter.com/eNsy4LxjnM
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Maybe you get your cheap coin maybe you won’t. Really doesn’t matter to people that have been stacking for years.......
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I have been buying since mid-2013...
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I guess not enough.
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i follow your ta 100% in bearish view (4600-2800) but what are your toughts on the release of bakkt in november? Do you think it could trigger a bullrun without consolidation? Or will there be no short term effect at all?
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I think it's overhyped. People need some hope to cling on to
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There was ETF decision by SEC last week - delay until next deadline December 29.
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We are going to stay on a downwards trend until big players have accumulated enough
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The compelling part of your analysis is missing. Foundational information that drives your analysis. 1. Google and Facebook unbanning ads 2. Bakkt being brought forward before a pending ETF which will generate new buyers 3. Coinbase expanding offering expanding market activity
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Can you now please summarize this in plain english?
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BTC is about to go through it’s first recession, usd monetary supply will contract, USD will become more relatively scarce than a hard currency like BTC 2 most reliable indicators are ‘worlds tallest/largest building opening’ and treasury yield curve flattening and inverting
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Kingdom Tower will open in Jeddah in 2020, yield curve is approaching chronic flattening and will invert, within approx a year or so from now ‘recession’ will have begun, mild, but still a recession
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Statistically recessions occur approx every 7yrs and last approx 3yrs, more accurately though, the recession swap length from 2yrs then 4yrs then 2yrs then 4yrs etc, this one will be approx 2yrs and mild, but the macro bull run from 2021-2027/2028 will be epic
End of conversation
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Would you say a move down or up?
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ETF delayed ..Isn’t it ?
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Gird up your loins.
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