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MustStopMurad's profile
Murad Mahmudov 🚀
Murad Mahmudov 🚀
Murad Mahmudov  🚀
@MustStopMurad

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Murad Mahmudov  🚀

@MustStopMurad

Cryptocurrency Analyst. Bitcoin, not Blockchain. Angel Investor. Previously @Princeton.

New York, NY
Joined March 2017

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    1. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad Aug 14
      Replying to @wheatpond @alpackaP @KyleSamani

      In the medium term sure. But in the long-term they all increasingly converge to one. e.g. Gold is 8000B and Silver 50B. In the long run equilibrium the second-biggest is unlikely to be 10% as big as the first, that’s too big. It’s riskier to hold the non-dominant one.pic.twitter.com/DlQA0Dw2rq

      3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
    2. panek‏ @panekkkk Aug 14
      Replying to @MustStopMurad @wheatpond and

      There’s no telling how long long term is and due to limits and “advanceability” of tech, it’s anyone’s guess how tech $ will emerge — ie when a clear winner emerges, how long it retains dominance, if it breaks, when it breaks. 👏🏻 These are not physical monies 👏🏻 Tattoo that.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad Aug 14
      Replying to @panekkkk @wheatpond and

      Non-physicality is a double-edged sword. It can be argued that the fact that they are not physical makes the transferability, movement of wealth and subsequent game-theoretic convergence to one huge winner all the more accelerated...

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    4. panek‏ @panekkkk Aug 14
      Replying to @MustStopMurad @wheatpond and

      It also means one could be completely obsolete tomorrow. The point is simply that these monies are emergent. That doesn’t really have historical parallels. Physical materials are born with immutable characteristics. Cryptos will never cease changing. Fascinating and new.

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
      Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad Aug 14
      Replying to @panekkkk @wheatpond and

      dominant coin won't be obsolete overnight, *even* if 10x better tech suddenly comes along. SoV has a deep mental / Lindy / reassurance factor to it; even a breakthrough newcomer would need at least 2-3 years of its own lindy to start challenging take over.

      3:33 PM - 14 Aug 2018
      • 4 Likes
      • JD Ahmad Adelgary Citizen ₿itcoin⚡ panek
      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad Aug 14
          Replying to @MustStopMurad @panekkkk and

          also, a *full* 10x improvement over BTC is suuuper hard. monetary policy already best imaginable. security high. 1 decade of robustness. unlimited base layer TX with no tradeoffs + mathematically provable privacy + mathematically provable security.... MAYBE... but that's madness

          1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. panek‏ @panekkkk Aug 14
          Replying to @MustStopMurad @wheatpond and

          PoS (as SOV and cost-effectiveness), privacy, decentralization, scalability (throughput/latency and storage), and security are all dimensions across which you could see dimensional upgrades. Who said anything about 10x? Even 2x is literally twice as good.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. blockhup‏ @blockhup Aug 14
          Replying to @panekkkk @MustStopMurad and

          murad is right, 10x is needed to overcome switching costs. in innovation 2x is as useful as -2x. check out zero to one.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        5. panek‏ @panekkkk Aug 14
          Replying to @blockhup @MustStopMurad and

          Crypto today is hardly used by anyone and 2x may be more than enough to overcome switching costs. We simply don’t know.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        6. blockhup‏ @blockhup Aug 14
          Replying to @panekkkk @MustStopMurad and

          i would argue even 10x might not be enough since people's wealth is involved. imagine what it would take for you to change your mind.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        7. panek‏ @panekkkk Aug 14
          Replying to @blockhup @MustStopMurad and

          Switching costs are literally negligible in crypto at the moment. All it would take is you believing there is a better asset worth storing your value in. Don’t let biases get in the way of objective thinking.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        8. Murad Mahmudov  🚀‏ @MustStopMurad Aug 14
          Replying to @panekkkk @blockhup and

          exactly so I think you should sell your ETH for BTC before ETHBTC collapses further into the abbyss

          4 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        9. panek‏ @panekkkk Aug 14
          Replying to @MustStopMurad @blockhup and

          Sure. All it would take is me believing there is a better asset worth storing my value in. Alas, I don't. But I do diversify. I'm not a religious lunatic 😬

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        10. End of conversation

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