An update on my 2018 prediction thread:https://twitter.com/AriDavidPaul/status/952573793612025856 …
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2/ First off, while I'll discuss some good and bad calls in this thread, the point here is not to claim victories or pat myself on the shoulder, it's just to provide updated views. As emphasized in the original thread, I view the future as probabilistic always. Educated guesses.
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3/ The Bitcoin dominance index already broke 40%. In a continued bear market, it will likely rise further. In a bull market, it will likely fall, but there's a chance we could have a Bitcoin led rally. - basically, no opinion on Bitcoin dominance from here.
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4/ I thought that BCH would at some point trade at 0.45 BCHBTC in my last thread - this is looking less likely, but there remain strong incentives for miners to support BCH in many ways. 0.45 is an arbitrary target, but I do think BCHBTC will trade much higher at some point 2018
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