contributing writer @wearemel, @ringer, & @splicetoday. seen in @theatlantic, @parisreview, &c. repped by @inkwellmgmt. co-host of @whatisleftpod 
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I love that the finest analysis from the Nates doing the work, Silver and Cohn, amounts to little more than "Sanders could win big unless he doesn't" and "he could lose if he doesn't win." We're still at folk-meteorology, Farmer's Almanac levels of analysis on polling
He performed well before so he could regress, unless he gets a bounce. You love to see it. Pay me six figures and I'll type all the words that are just as probative as astrology but less colorful and high fantasy-oriented
Yes, I'll take my chances predicting both recent and ancient history. Bit dicier once we go back into pre-history though
It’s been my criticism of Nate Silver for years. He tries punditry, but hedges everything behind probability. Either stick your neck out there or don’t.
You've got to go hard or go home. Or you don't. It all depends. I'm not your dad...make up your own mind!
Pay me seven and I'll do an infographic every day as Borgesian as the one on the front page of the FT. "Comparative GDP growth contribution of premature deaths, 1990-2016: Belgium, Canada, China, EU average, Japan, Lesotho, Mexico, UK"
"[Sources: Elsevier, EpiPen, WPP]"
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