Look up, this helps your argument (just posted):https://twitter.com/MotleySlate/status/1248222498908487680 …
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Replying to @MotleySlate @YangTerrence and
Sure and none of that accounts for mass gatherings at Costco, Walmart, Meijer, etc. Kids were still playing with friends and many were still going to work during that first week. That takes us to right about March 23. No one was social distancing 2 weeks prior to the 23rd.
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Replying to @yllams @YangTerrence and
It was not perfect, but closing of schools was huge. Play with a few friends doesn’t compare to being in a closed school. Almost everyone I know was social distancing once kids were out of school on the 16th. Nursing homes and hospitals were already following special protocols.
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Replying to @MotleySlate @YangTerrence and
With a 2 wk incubation & the "lockdown" not being 2 wks before their spike date, even with the school closing being 1 wk prior to their spike date, we should have hit a peak much closer to what their spike was if their model was correct. It wasn't correct the modeling is wrong.
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Replying to @yllams @YangTerrence and
It is ~2-14 days, median is 5 days. Please stop spreading
#FakeNews Please research before you post. https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/2762808/incubation-period-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19-from-publicly-reported …1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @MotleySlate @YangTerrence and
if it's 5 days we definitely would have hit that peak since the schools were only shut down a week before their predicted peak. Again the models were wrong and this shut down has gone on long enough.
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Replying to @yllams @YangTerrence and
Sorry, but you are not comprehending anything I have said. What is your plan, hit the streets tomorrow? How do you know it’s safe? The only responsible plan forward is testing the population for antibodies to see who has had already had it. Only then can we gauge safety (1/2).
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The lower the % already infected, the more deadly the virus is proven to be. Death rates and case studies reported are more accurate. The higher the % of already infected, the less deadly the virus is vs. reported cases. Herd immunity already working in large numbers. (2/2)
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