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MotleySlate's profile
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@MotleySlate

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    7. 🅼 🅾🆃🅻🅴🆈 🆂🅻 🅰🆃🅴‏ @MotleySlate 9 Apr 2020

      🅼 🅾🆃🅻🅴🆈 🆂🅻 🅰🆃🅴 Retweeted 🅼 🅾🆃🅻🅴🆈 🆂🅻 🅰🆃🅴

      Look up, this helps your argument (just posted):https://twitter.com/MotleySlate/status/1248222498908487680 …

      🅼 🅾🆃🅻🅴🆈 🆂🅻 🅰🆃🅴 added,

      🅼 🅾🆃🅻🅴🆈 🆂🅻 🅰🆃🅴 @MotleySlate
      Replying to @AlexBerenson
      Interesting, but things you are NOT considering: 1) National and OH press conferences started weeks before. 2) OH Schools closed on March 16, greatly affecting what happens 2-14 days AFTER models unmitigated curve. 3) Many were #WFH after March 16 because of #2. @CT_Bergstrom
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Jon Small‏ @yllams 9 Apr 2020
      Replying to @MotleySlate @YangTerrence and

      Sure and none of that accounts for mass gatherings at Costco, Walmart, Meijer, etc. Kids were still playing with friends and many were still going to work during that first week. That takes us to right about March 23. No one was social distancing 2 weeks prior to the 23rd.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      🅼 🅾🆃🅻🅴🆈 🆂🅻 🅰🆃🅴‏ @MotleySlate 9 Apr 2020
      Replying to @yllams @YangTerrence and

      It was not perfect, but closing of schools was huge. Play with a few friends doesn’t compare to being in a closed school. Almost everyone I know was social distancing once kids were out of school on the 16th. Nursing homes and hospitals were already following special protocols.

      11:58 AM - 9 Apr 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jon Small‏ @yllams 9 Apr 2020
          Replying to @MotleySlate @YangTerrence and

          With a 2 wk incubation & the "lockdown" not being 2 wks before their spike date, even with the school closing being 1 wk prior to their spike date, we should have hit a peak much closer to what their spike was if their model was correct. It wasn't correct the modeling is wrong.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. 🅼 🅾🆃🅻🅴🆈 🆂🅻 🅰🆃🅴‏ @MotleySlate 9 Apr 2020
          Replying to @yllams @YangTerrence and

          It is ~2-14 days, median is 5 days. Please stop spreading #FakeNews Please research before you post. https://annals.org/aim/fullarticle/2762808/incubation-period-coronavirus-disease-2019-covid-19-from-publicly-reported …

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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