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MorlockP's profile
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
@MorlockP

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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs

@MorlockP

Two-time Prometheus award-winning hard science fiction author. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6  Learn how to homestead https://www.amazon.com/dp/B093BC3K1T 

Aristillus Crater, Luna
amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6
Joined June 2012

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    1. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 7 May 2018

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      73/ It's not a 3% difference; it's more like 20+%. ...and I'm not asking for a "safe space" free of bad opinions. I'm asking that @AlexNowrasteh and @CatoInstitute not import socialist voters who will raise my taxes and increase gov. Different thing. https://twitter.com/charliesixtwo/status/993678936428204032?s=19 …

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

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    2. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 8 May 2018

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted The Alex Nowrasteh

      74/ You keep saying that, @AlexNowrasteh, but it's not true. My criticisms were all entirely correct. See figures 9, 12, 18, and 20 in your whitepaper. cc @DaytimeRenegade, @kaijubushi, @mgcat, @ne_8686https://twitter.com/AlexNowrasteh/status/993865679643299841 …

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

      The Alex Nowrasteh @AlexNowrasteh
      @morlockp misread graphs & misstated my conclusion in the paper he was criticizing. I pointed that out & he sent me a long, partially coherent twitter thread so I blocked him. If that's your standard, then so be it.
      1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
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    3. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 8 May 2018

      75/ @AlexNowrasteh your one defense is "look at figure 18, and look ONLY at the immigrants who become citizens...they're not so bad". My rebuttal: that's a subset of all immigrants. ON AVERAGE, immigrants want much more taxation and redistribution...AND SO DO THEIR CHILDREN!

      1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
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    4. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 8 May 2018

      76/ @AlexNowrasteh let's refer back to YOUR OWN WHITE PAPER again, specifically figures 3 and 4. Figure 4 shows that about 16% of natives are "strong democrats". Figure 3 shows that 11% of non-citizens natives and 20% of citizen natives are strong dems.pic.twitter.com/esQZT0JtzV

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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    5. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 8 May 2018

      77/ You keep arguing as if this is time-series data, not cohort data (which it is). Fine. I give up on explaining the difference to you, but let's just assume you're correct. If so, then your policy of giving immigrants citizenship makes them MORE socialist, not less!

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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    6. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 8 May 2018

      78/ So we have natives who are 16% "strong Dems". And then we have your 1st generation citizen immigrants who are 20% strong Dems...even three generations later. The difference between 16% and 20% means that these people are 25% more likely to be hardcore socialists.

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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    7. SpikerIsAwesome‏ @SpikerIsAwesome 8 May 2018
      Replying to @MorlockP

      This is not how math works. Take 2 groups of 100 people each. Group A has 16 Dems. Group B has 20 (of 100) Dems. That is a 25% increase of a small number, but not a 25% increase in likelihood. Take the difference (4) out of the total n (100). Group B is 4% more likely.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. SpikerIsAwesome‏ @SpikerIsAwesome 8 May 2018
      Replying to @SpikerIsAwesome @MorlockP

      Say you loved every Star Wars movie but Ep. 1. There's was 14% (1/7) chance you'd hate a randomly chosen SW movie. Upon release, you also hate Last Jedi. That's 100% increase in SW movies you hate, but only a 9% increase in the likelihood of hating a randomly chosen SW movie.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. SpikerIsAwesome‏ @SpikerIsAwesome 8 May 2018
      Replying to @SpikerIsAwesome @MorlockP

      *11%, not 9%. oops.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Frank Lloyd Righteous, Ph.D Misanthropologist‏ @BostonDelendEst 8 May 2018
      Replying to @SpikerIsAwesome @MorlockP

      You (not he) are being imprecise with your numerical terminology. Percentage changes are not percentage points.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 8 May 2018
      Replying to @BostonDelendEst @SpikerIsAwesome

      Right. To expand on that, if something goes from 4% to 8%, one may say: "it increased by 100 percent" OR "it increased by 4 [ percentage ] points" c.f. finance where percente points are further divided by 100 to create basis points and one might say "increased by 400 points"

      11:41 AM - 8 May 2018
      • 2 Likes
      • Mark Corrigan, Esq. Christopher Smith
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. SpikerIsAwesome‏ @SpikerIsAwesome 8 May 2018
          Replying to @MorlockP @BostonDelendEst

          Okay, but in a survey of 1500, 4% is not statistically significant (which is what Cato's paper said). You rephrased it to say its a 25% increase b/w two groups, but that doesn't make the difference any more statistically significant. At best, its willfully misleading.

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        1. SpikerIsAwesome‏ @SpikerIsAwesome 8 May 2018
          Replying to @MorlockP @BostonDelendEst

          When we're discussing statistical significance, which Cato's paper is doing and you are responding to, one of those is proper and the other is not. Not because its technically inaccurate, but because its needlessly confusing (unless confusing your audience is your intention).

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