1/ I don't expect a full collapse. I don't even expect a partial collapse. Worst likely case is just a Great Depression. https://twitter.com/claudeakinsmask/status/849274356597444609 …
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Replying to @MorlockP
2/ so the threat model is more "unemployed for 2 years" than "the tanker is full of gazoline / that's my snake, I get to eat it!"
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Replying to @MorlockP
3/ The Zipf Power Law applies to economic problems. Lots of recessions, a few depressions, 1 "end of USSR / rise of Russia / pensions gone"
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Replying to @MorlockP
4/ Which implies an 80/20 law. $5k in the bank solves 80% of problems. 6 months of food solves 80% of what's left. etc.
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Replying to @MorlockP
5/ I'm on a farm 95% just for enjoyment / bucket list / LARP fun / good environment for kids. 5% "we could survive SHTF" is gravy.
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Replying to @MorlockP
6/ I don't even think a Venezuala situation is likely...but it's not utterly impossible. During fall of Soviet Union, gardening helped.
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7/ But if we get a John Ringo "Last Centurion" style situation, or a touch of a plague / bioweapon / economic collapse, then it'll help lots
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