This sounds remarkably like a threat.https://twitter.com/mfa_russia/status/1501880265584615425 …
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Not an insurgency yet though. If the point is that arming insurgencies creates blowback, then that begs the question, i.e. assumes the "Kiev regime" is "unviable".
You're reading it wrong. Russia is saying that if we provide anti aircraft arms, they'll respond by shooting any plane anywhere out of the sky as a consequence.
Well that's the threat, but not what was said. It's geo politics for you.
More than once
The only thing that stops a bad guy with a Stinger is a good guy with a Javelin.
Honestly this is the deniable read but considering Russian weapons export policies it'd be a real pot-kettle moment so it's hard for me not to read it as a threat.
If it weren't for Russia's history of shooting down jetliners it might read like a warning rather than a threat.
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