1/ yes everything came unstuck when the Soviet Union collapsed and when the Twin Towers fell massive changes take a generation or so to shake out / to percolate through the systemhttps://twitter.com/eigenrobot/status/1497233921989222400 …
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2/ I'm a fan of Kondratiev wave theory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kondratiev_wave … applied both to economics and politics. I see a LOT of waves cresting all at once in the current decade or two. I think we are seeing a once-every-500-year change. h/t to
@JohnBarnesSF for introducing me to this2 replies 1 retweet 16 likesShow this thread -
3/ ...in either an afterward or some interstitial material in one of his Thousand Open Doors series novels. Also,
@JohnBarnesSF should absolutely track down that essay and upload it to twitter ... or at the very least give me permission to do it myself!1 reply 0 retweets 9 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @MorlockP
It’s called “How To Build A Future” and it appears in the March 1990 Analog, an old Pulphouse chapbook edition, and a bunch of anthologies including my Apostophes and Apocalypses.
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Replying to @JohnBarnesSF @MorlockP
you’ll be disappointed by how oriented it is to writing science fiction and how little to any kind of actual forecasting. I think that’s where I said that anyone who starts to believe they are forecasting the future should just lie down and rest till it gets here.
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Replying to @JohnBarnesSF
Oh, yeah, I remember it not as predicting, but as a guide to future history building. I specifically remember one sentence like "you get 95% of what you knew was possible, plus also a half dozen things that had previously seemed impossible". I'm wondering if we get >>>
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Fusion, ubiquitous cheap solar, interplanetary space flight, and perhaps AI over the next 25 years. Things seem to be ...quickening.
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