1/ I don't think we should get involved in Ukraine. However, here is the steelman argument for getting involved in Ukraine: * we promised Ukraine we would, and they handed over their nukes bc of ithttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum_on_Security_Assurances …
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3/ Bayesian theory says that 2 data points is better proof than 1https://twitter.com/znfrey/status/1485711268036202501 …
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4/ gosh, what are the chances that I read the third paragraph in the page I linked to in the top tweet?https://twitter.com/zmoreira/status/1485721750130339840 …
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And with Ukraine, it's worse than it was when we did it to Libya.
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I thought Libya had already demonstrated this.
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Which is precisely the first thing
@elonmusk should do after establishing a permanent base on Mars.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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yep I expect the next 10-15 years to be very rapid armament by many parties
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