2/ would you rather fight one America-sized duck, or two duck-sized Americashttps://twitter.com/PrinceVogel/status/1476313794603278339 …
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175 million people across the Pacific ocean with more guns than anywhere else in the world National divorce still a bad idea (not clear that there are any good ideas left though....), but people have a shocking inability to think about this stuff concretely
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There's a ton that can be done without any type of formal secession. There's way more state sovereignty than people typically recognize in practical matters of governance; the feds are bigger in terms of legal framework and big $ programs than sinews of state
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Never mind that despite economic expansionism China has never shown in its history a willingness to take over physically anything but what they believe are their borders. Could change but why spend manpower when you can fiscally twist people's arms to your will.
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willingness, nothing never shown ABILITY
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I think the blue half would be more vulnerable to Chinese influence ala what they're up to in Australia without the red half acting as a guard dog
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now I'm imagining an alt-history novel centered on the struggles of CCP functionaries in their new California province trying to get even a single piece of infrastructure built or fixed irresistible force meets immovable object
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Harry Turtledove x Kafka
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The problem with the discussion is that it assumes national divorce, when National Murder-Suicide is more likely.
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That being said, China is in an exceedingly challenging position in a post-US world, so Divorce or Murder-Suicide, they'll probably have bigger fish to fry than "taking over half our country, including the west coast." Starting with Japan and India.
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