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@ByrneHobart's essays have made me realize the importance of complements: if concrete has some value & some cost, but a structural engineer can design a form so as to get 5x utility out of each cubic yard of concrete over the naive utilization (e.g. elegant arches vs blocks)
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3/ you might at first think "oh, more structural engineers mean less concrete, because each one can stretch the concrete further" ...but it might also mean that structural engineers really unlock the all purpose utility of concrete, and so it gets used in more places >>>
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4/ ...and thus the demand for concrete goes UP. Software is just logic / thinking, where it's expensive to build once, but literally too cheap to meter per run thereafter, and logic / thinking is a complement to EVERYTHING under the sun. Thus "software is eating the world".
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Russell Newquist
5/ I don't see any natural limit for the demand for thinking, so I don't think that the demand for software is going to slow down any time soon - the reverse, actually, I think.https://twitter.com/rnewquist/status/1459547232168992770 …
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6/ We may get to the point where the cutting edge of software design / implementation requires a higher g than most would-be-coders have...and thus total employment may collapse ... but the DEMAND will not collapse, is my bet.
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Russell Newquist
7/ sure, but reuse is GOOD when we started producing screws on machines instead of requiring a machinist to cut each one on a lathe, or with a die, did the total demand for machinists go up or down? Up, I suspect >>>https://twitter.com/rnewquist/status/1459547932882046980 …
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Russell Newquist @rnewquistReplying to @rnewquist @MorlockPThis is highly visible in the field if you know where to look. Entire areas that used to require many teams of the highly skilled CS grads are now performed (better) by open source libraries that are maintained by three guys in their basements not getting paid.1 reply 1 retweet 14 likesShow this thread -
8/ ...because screws are a complement to machine tools, and machine tools are a complement to machinists. Likewise, standard libraries make it POSSIBLE to solve harder problems in reasonable amounts of time, and thus the demand for software engineers has gone up.
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Russell Newquist
9/ we agree on this the market clearing price of a guy who can copy-and-paste PHP from stackexchange into a crappy 2004 Wordpress site is $20/hrhttps://twitter.com/rnewquist/status/1459548597561794566 …
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10/ ...and this, in turn, is one of the reasons that there's such an interest in "social" "justice": there's an overproduction of [ would be ] elites, and ideology is a good smoke screen to redistribute / capture some of the pay of the top 10% engineers to others w lower g.
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Replying to @MorlockP
Ok, so basically income redistribution and berating "the rich" == wordcel cope? I buy that
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Replying to @MorlockP
I got that they didn't *actually* care about the poor from all the talk of student loan forgiveness, restoring full SALT deduction, and screw-startup-founders unrealized gains tax.... When you label it the "Wordcel lobby", these positions begin to make sense
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Replying to @MimiLovelace @MorlockP
Along with the increasing discontent about billionaire charitable donations... funding EA-type projects rather than traditional nonprofits & academia is a major threat to good wordcel jobs.
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