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MorlockP's profile
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
@MorlockP

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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs

@MorlockP

Two-time Prometheus award-winning hard science fiction author. https://www.amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6  Learn how to homestead https://www.amazon.com/dp/B093BC3K1T 

Aristillus Crater, Luna
amazon.com/dp/B005JPPMS6
Joined June 2012

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    1. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Balaji Srinivasan

      1/ a "ledger of record" is a fascinating idea, and it ties in with @robinhanson ideas about betting markets / futarchy. It would be QUITE interesting to have factual propositions on the blockchain, and allow people to add boolean or trinary claims re those facts to the chain >https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1459145167076663296 …

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

      Balaji SrinivasanVerified account @balajis
      Instead of simply asserting that something is true because it's from the "paper of record" or false because it's "fake news", we need an impartial mechanism for adjudicating factual disputes on the internet. That is the ledger of record. https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1290326486382022656 …
      Show this thread
      3 replies 6 retweets 27 likes
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    2. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      2/ person/key Y claims re proposition X that it is { true | false | not-even-false } with weight / bet Z of course, if we're proposing moving stuff onto the chain, we can't have it loadbearing on single points of failure off the chain (e.g. "...and the NYT says so")

      1 reply 2 retweets 8 likes
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    3. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      3/ BTC whitepaper had the genius insight that you can adjudicate between the one true chain and false chains ... just based on popularity / consensus / work I wonder what the equivalent is here? The naive answer is "once betting goes 20:1 in a certain direction, consesus!"

      1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
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    4. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      4/ That's theoretically game-able (betting on flat earth is 6%, but then some nut comes in with $1M on pro-flat-earth, sweeps the market, walks away with $50,000 bet on spherical earth), but ... maybe incentives can be tweaked? e.g.

      1 reply 1 retweet 8 likes
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    5. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      5/ if a flat-earth guy put up $1M and didn't snipe the auction, but there's still time on the clock, anyone else can come in with $20M and grab that $1M from Mr Flat for free. ...but it doesn't have to be 1 guy with $20M. Could be 20M guys w $1. Weaponize diamond hands.

      3 replies 1 retweet 9 likes
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    6. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      6/ You might also want to keep the information value of bets decline as they age, but keep the payoffs absolute. E.g. Betting on the 2024 POTUS election: D or R ? I put in $100 on R today, you put in $100 on D We want payoffs from the smart contract to be based on bet size...

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
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    7. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      7/ but that doesn't mean that the TRUTH VALUE of the early bets needs to feed into the computation of the overall truth value. You could design multiple different truth functions based on timestamp of data points (bets). One is linear decay (c.f. depreciation models).

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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    8. ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      8/ one is exponential decay another is threshold (no bets before 15 Nov 2024 count at all) Hmm...I was already interested in learning the solidity https://soliditylang.org/  smart contract language for work reasons...this might be reason #2 Damnit @balajis, you grew my todo list

      3 replies 1 retweet 12 likes
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      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs‏ @MorlockP 12 Nov 2021

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted

      9/ players already in the space! Awesome! https://twitter.com/meta_nomad/status/1459149252479885314 …

      ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,

      This Tweet is unavailable.
      5:37 AM - 12 Nov 2021
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      • fedaykin reepicheep zywiec The Bicoloured-Python-Rock-Snake ⬡ 𝕊𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕖𝕝 ⬡
      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        1. ⬡ The_Crypto_Oracle ⬡‏ @Crypto___Oracle 12 Nov 2021
          Replying to @MorlockP @balajis

          I think what's more likely and productive is competing DAOs that people pay to assert truths to questions they ask, which then serve as reputations. Getting to a single objective truth on many subjects that are politically charged is hard, but open debate can be quite beneficial.

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        1. R Herrold  🐸 Ⓜ️ 🦠‏ @herrold 12 Nov 2021
          Replying to @MorlockP @balajis

          Seems like you are talking through the futures marketplace used in Atistillus Books

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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