what is your technical analysis of the problems with the proposed approach ?https://twitter.com/Tinkzorg/status/1457676111131860995 …
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2/ I mean "technical analysis" in the sense of "analysis of the technology", not in the sense of stock-price pareidolia.
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Wie Dan 🍃
3/ yep, I sub to this channel and watched this video a while back I found it to be lacking It raised a valid critique about press releases ... but didn't talk about why fusion reactors can't work. Also, to date the research as all been gov run >https://twitter.com/LudditeHacker/status/1457677285792825347 …
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4/ ...and government and academic R&D projects look at expenses at a BENEFIT. Endless R&D is ideal. Look at academic/gov spacetravel vs free market (SpaceX) Look at academic/gov gene sequencing vs free market etc etc etc I think it's a decent bet.
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Juche Girlboss Respecter 40K
5/ I think the chance of Thiel, who's a genius, and who can get the absolute best technical briefings on the planet, understanding the technical constraints and opportunities better than you (or me) is 100%.https://twitter.com/Tinkzorg/status/1457678184581849098 …
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Juche Girlboss Respecter 40K @TinkzorgReplying to @MorlockPIronically, the chances of Thiel understanding the finer points of how to generate fusion power for commercial purposes are only very slightly higher than me doing the same. It's hardly some sort of accessible field open to happy amateurs, lol.3 replies 1 retweet 18 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Wie Dan 🍃
6/ yes, I agree with that the news is written by journalists who are reading press releases by academic hacks it's uselesshttps://twitter.com/LudditeHacker/status/1457679006418051074 …
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7/ absolutely Thiel bets on fusion if the payoff is high enough to justify the low chance of success. I'm not arguing that fusion is guaranteed, or will happen in 5 years. I'm arguing that Thiel is making good decisions.https://twitter.com/krishnanrohit/status/1457680093980024834 …
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rohit @krishnanrohitReplying to @MorlockPI think this gets the Thiel bet wrong. The bet isn't that fusion will work, it's that fusion can work and if it does it has an outsized payoff. The bet to maximise chance of being right is "fusion won't work". The bet to maximise chance of being rich is "fusion might work".2 replies 1 retweet 24 likesShow this thread -
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted Juche Girlboss Respecter 40K
8/ yes, it IS an appeal to Thiel's authority or, as I like to think of it, Bayesianism > Thiel's chances of reaching a specialized physician's level of knowledge is very low. I don't respect physicians as much as you dohttps://twitter.com/Tinkzorg/status/1457680392543248394 …
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Juche Girlboss Respecter 40K @TinkzorgReplying to @MorlockPAt the end of the day, this is an appeal to Thiel's authority as a genius. Note that I didn't say "understand better", I said "understand the finer points". The distinction is important: Thiel's chances of reaching a specialized physician's level of knowledge is very low.6 replies 0 retweets 27 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @MorlockP
Physicians or physicists? I ,for one, welcome our cronenburg-confined-plasma overlords
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don't ask me; I'm not the one who introduced the word into the thread
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Replying to @MorlockP
Well aware, still amused by the idea of toroidal body horror
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Replying to @CarlHedgren @MorlockP
It’s easier for a layman to match a physician’s understanding of a medical topic than to match a physicist’s understanding of a physical topic. People tend to overestimate the difficulty of the former and underestimate the latter.
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