2/ TLDR: all of the constraints about space travel (cost and max size) are going to 100% disappear in about 24 months, and the result is going to be like what we saw with trains in 1870, airplanes and cars in 1925, home computers in 1980, internet in 1995
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3/ We are going to move from 2 space stations (ISS and PRC) to 5 in a handful of years ...and then to <uncountable> We will have, for example, multiple competing space station module manufacturers.
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4/ One of the reasons I'm back to Ari 3 and 4 is I want to finish them before they're laughable retro-fiction. (Tho I was quite happy to see that the article referenced at top of this thread mentioned Caterpillar excavation equipment on the moon, with vacuum rated bearings >>
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5/ ...which was LITERALLY a minor plot point in my novels ; at one point Mike Martin is flipping through a catalog of heavy equipment modifications done to generic CAT stuff, done by a local reseller.
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6/ One kinda derp thing about the article was the guy wants NASA and JPL to get out in front of the parade so they can slap their logos on the side of stuff. No, man. HELL, no. That's like saying DARPA & NIST should've branded products from Apple.https://twitter.com/thepiclord/status/1453766116761800723 …
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7/ One plausible defense of NASA etc was "in 1960 no private contractor could do this, so the gov does it for <mumble> reasons that have positive externalities" now that SpaceX is doing it... NASA plz GTFO
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I love this line: "A dollar spent on mass optimization no longer buys a dollar saved on launch cost. It buys nothing. It is time to raise the scope of our ambition and think much bigger."
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