2/ demonic possession is POSSIBLE, but we have no way to separate it from other theories that generate exactly the same predictions
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3/ doing my small part to establish Rationalist Adjacent Catholicism over here, waving my banner which says "DEUS VULT ... with p = 0.7"
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Replying to @MorlockP
it’s funny because those things are inherently contradictory
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Replying to @virgil_30
not at all! God can will all sorts of things, but that doesn't mean that our knowledge of what He wills is clear.
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Replying to @MorlockP
That’s fair I do think that about hypotheses like “God exists” it doesn’t make much sense to assign a prior But “God wants X” maybe is different I also just hate Bayesianism it’s all wrong
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Replying to @virgil_30
> “God exists” it doesn’t make much sense to assign a prior 100% agree...but I'll generalize. Priors are useful, for human knowledge about things. There either is or is not > 100 kg of gold inside Ceres. That fact is, one presumes, already locked into the universe. >>>
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Replying to @MorlockP @virgil_30
2/ However, we humans don't know that fact. So we can talk about priors on this, but they're statements about our knowledge, not statements about reality. I thought about this a LOT in elementary school, thinking about probabilities of die rolls in progress vs completed >>>
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Replying to @MorlockP
Oh I just disagree about priors. I think they’re bad!
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Replying to @virgil_30
I think they're good, but I'm always happy to [ further ] disagree with Rationalists, so my ears are open1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @MorlockP
I would call myself a postrationalist I stopped being a rationalist the day I went to school to study statistics
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I always found the Bayesianism of Rats the weirdest thing it's like some proto Boy Scouts discovered * hiking boots * rope * swiss army knives * first aid kits ...and then structured their entire culture about the Square Hitch knot wait what?
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Replying to @MorlockP
“It’s like some proto Boy Scouts” already true I think what happened was the movement was largely true and good and then it got co-opted by a set of intellectual juveniles
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