2/ demonic possession is POSSIBLE, but we have no way to separate it from other theories that generate exactly the same predictions
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2/ my credence that the coin I flipped and which landed under the desk is that it is head with p=0.5 my prior / probability about rain 3 year from today is also p=0.5 ...but these are two entirely distinct concepts.
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I still don’t think the latter one is a probability
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Copenhagen interpretation means probabilities are real I’m also on board with Reichenbach’s use of the term “posit” to describe things that aren’t probabilities but also aren’t credences LLN means posits are stable over finite iteration
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