2/ "Imagine if the DoD approached military procurement the same way NASA approaches SLS procurement, and for the same reasons". "if"
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3/ were I the kind of guy who wrote science fiction, I might be tempted to write a future history where Pacific War I takes place around 2030, and PRC wins and then humiliates a weak / prostrate "baizuo" US government and, much as Treaty of Versailles led to WWII >>>
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4/ Pacific War II taking place around 2045 or 2050 when the younger, angry AF US generation rises to positions of leadership.pic.twitter.com/3G64QbIqhu
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Listen if the chicoms want America to turn Beijing into glass, all they need is ask.
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The US, as a geopolitical actor, hasn't had the stones to execute the million or some odd goat fuckers in the Hindu Kush it would have taken to pacify afghanistan for the last twenty years you think they'll nuke beijing really
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they don't need to nuke the carrier group a swarm of small boats sinks the task force every time it's simmed The next war is already lost, and has been already lost for a decade At least
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I tell people that a large number of China's civilian maritime fleet is deputized into the military (complete w/training) and people are like: "Oh yeah what are a bunch of little boats going to do against an aircraft carrier?" https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/06/25/chinas-secret-navy-spratlys-southchinasea-chinesenavy-maritimemilitia/ …
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I think this is plausible, but that the real question is whether the PRC invades Taiwan before the DPRK collapses. I don't think these event chains are mutually exclusive, but *are* in competition. And that the US can only respond to one at a time (if we choose to).
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I'll add that if those two event chains trigger successively, there's a real opportunity for resistance movements in Xinjiang, Tibet, and Hong Kong to cascade into a major challenge to PRC legitimacy.
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I'm not an aerospace tech expert, but I've been wondering if fast, ship killing missiles are a good counter to carrier groups. Thoughts?
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Yes, very dangerous
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