TA works cuz every other idiot trying to do TA makes it so through collective hallucination
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Yeah but astrology works.
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Back in my single days with new age-y girls....yeah it works like a charm.
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A lot of people have areas where their critical thinking skills just go out the window. Some variety of rational ignorance, I presume.
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Stock and flow model seems to work for big picture of Bitcoin. It’s matching a linear curve over time. Finer-grained analysis and time scales are trickier.pic.twitter.com/btj4O1AaBU
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As a mid-20th-Century commie pinko* said, the market can remain irrational much longer than you can stay solvent. (Technical analysts believe they can outsmart that irrationality, or at least exploit it. Hence regular crashes…
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*J M Keynes, according to lore & biographers.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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if technical analysis is popular among crypto investors, that tells you something about how sophisticated they are
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serial correlation of a single security in price exists slightly mean reversion for prices of a single security is hard to reliably demonstrate. mean reversion of volatility is easier to find mean reversion of multi-security indices is more common
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