9/ And finally, beware linear extrapolations and doompoasting based on a 5/10/15 year horizon. It took us 170 years of north eastern corruption and power mongering to get us here, and we're not getting out in 4 or 8 years of DJT. The fight is generations long, & I'm optimistic
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10/ Blacks and Hispanics are breaking from the Dem reservation, and I think that will continue. If minorities are turning red, despite 4 years of "Hitler, lynching, chains!!!", the left is out of racial ammo.
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11/ Covid has hurt cities and they're going to take a generation to recover. NYC took from c. 1965 to 1990 to recover. Cities are cores of Dem organizing. Suburban voters might vote for moderate Dems to feel good about themselves, but hollowing out the cities hurts the left.
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12/ Universities, the madrassas of left wing indoctrination, are hurting bad. They have been on a growth path since the WWII GI Bill and Sputnik, but they have peaked. They are morally and intellectually bankrupt, and it's becoming more and more obvious. Amusingly, >>>
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13/ They could have stayed the madrassas of left wing orthodoxy and grown forever, but they're so greedy that they couldn't stop themselves from raising their prices year after year after year.
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14/ Gun control has been a dying issue for years, and between 3-D printers and SWPLs buying guns to defend themselves against BLM / Antifa riots, it's gone.
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15/ But these are all small individual points. The big point is that these battles are won over decades and centuries. Elon Musk has a privately owned fleet of reusable space ships. We're, with space travel, where personal computers were in 1973.
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16/ The Westphalian System is falling apart, and a new distributed phyle system is being born. Online tribes are becoming more meaningful than geography, and this is creating the new reality. Governance will catch up over 50 or 100 years.
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17/ Joe and Kamala, if they win, are like Brezhnev running the USSR. And Brezhnev is a necessary step. You don't move from enthusiasm and success to collapse in a single step. We don't move from Historic Obama to post-America in 8 years. Exhaustion and failure comes first.
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Replying to @MorlockP
strong moldbug energy radiating out of every pore of these tweets
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