Excited to see Barro make a killing picking up the free money he's identified. Oh, he's not doing that?
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We have large datasets on this stuff. Crazy to obsess about one data point, when we have so many more we can use.
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And if low liquidity is the problem due to regulations, why not argue for cutting those regulations, and even subsidizing to get more liquidity?
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When you said "here's why" I thought you were about to give your reasons.
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Romney was 50/50 on prediction markets in 2012, I had a friend bet his student loan repayment fund on Obama. Smart dude.
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Also pollsters. P1: If Trump wins, my predictive skills are useless and I’m wasting my life P2: I don’t want to be wasting my life C: Therefore Trump will lose
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