1/ I don't know if Trump will be reelected or not, but this "feeling" of a "real shift" is an entirely engineered effect. Fundamentals have not changed from a week ago, but tone of coverage, funded-by-one-side polls, etc. certainly have. Relying on gestalt impressions is dumbhttps://twitter.com/bethanyshondark/status/1313852278567301123 …
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6/ Getting an October surprise of motivated polling, talking-head talking points, press coverage, etc. in ...wait for it ... October, is EXACTLY what we would expect, and therefore there is absolutely no new data here.pic.twitter.com/12Ivr0USBW
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7/ This is the EXACT same "change" in "gestalt" that happened 4 years ago this month, with the "OMG Trump and women" news cycle. The darkest pill of all in growing older is realizing that there are no adults. No one learns. No one thinks.
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