2/ In this case: any argument for reopening contains something like "the R0 in lockdown is 0.9, with reopening it's somewhere between 1.1 and 1.9 assuming mask complaince is around 80%, current hospital utilization is < 45% max, daily economic cost of lockdown is Z +/- 20% >>>
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3/ ...and therefore, it probably makes sense to end lockdown in order to reduce economic problems (especially as have tools to calculate the book value of a human life and which we can compare to the economic effects of joblessness and concomitant depression and suicide), but >
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4/ ...as we do so, we need to keep a careful eye on transmission rates and hospital loading, and reevaluate in a month or two". Now compare this to "If Trump can’t do that, well, there goes the whole ship." No. No. Nothing about one person or even 100 catching covid >>>
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5/ Refutes or even calls into question the framework for deciding on lockdown vs reopening. N.B. : this is not a defense of Trump, his choices about masks, or anything else. It's a rant on comparing incommensurable things.
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