it really annoys me that determinism means the concept of free will couldn't *not* exist, even if it's completely incoherent
Where does this assumption of determinism come from? That seems like an unexamined axiom ... and one that has polluted Less Wrong predecessor circles since 3 generations before Yud was born.
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The observation of lawful behavior in nature, aided with the metaphors of clocks and billiard balls?
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Billiards as a metaphor is entirely unsupported. It went out the window in March 1926.
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Physics?
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This classic offers a possible solution to the problem of physics vs free will: https://www.amazon.com/Emperors-New-Mind-Concerning-1989-11-09/dp/B01F81OZ10/ …
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