1/ Interesting thread, and I'm glad to have read it. My take is exactly the opposite: I have ALWAYS expected a pandemic. I have ALWAYS expected a nuclear war. Maybe bc I'm pretty far out on "the spectrum", but to understand a thing is to appreciate its historic inevitabilityhttps://twitter.com/JeffLadish/status/1308163740219523073 …
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2/ As a teen I saw that the runways of LaGuardia, etc were near the highway, and marveled at how easy to would be to put a mortar in a minivan and blow up full loaded planes on the ground. I drove through the Lincoln tunnel and imagined a Ryder truck full of explosives.
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3/ 9/11 didn't surprise me at all - I'd thought of exactly that scenario and was - if anything - surprised it hadn't happened much earlier. I'd always expected another Black Death, and The Coming Plague (1996) gave me all the details.https://www.amazon.com/Coming-Plague-Emerging-Diseases-Balance/dp/0140250913 …
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4/ The "unthinkable" is not just thinkable. It's inevitable. There will be plagues far worse than this one. There will be nuclear war. The US will end, likely in civil war. A million monkeys on a million typewriters eventually write every book in Borges' library.
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Replying to @MorlockP
nuclear technology is not imo worth the investment at this point. not worth pursuing. That said, most of what you said, I agree with. But I used to read up about 'Yellow Jack fever' and the quarantines because they had no idea it was mosquitoes.
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Replying to @DebbsThe
> nuclear technology is not imo worth the investment at this point. huh? what?
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Replying to @MorlockP
1) nuclear decays 2) dirty bombs are easier to manage & devastating it's really a long topic , but do the research, theory of nuclear war is outdated. today's war, nuclear is the shiny 1950s caddy in the garage no one drives. It's there for show, not practical purposes.
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I have done research. This is wrong.
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