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3/ Folks want epistemically simple landscapes. "THE SCIENCE SAYS X" "MY TRIBE SAYS Y" etc. Thing is ... no scientist is infallible, no tribe is infallible. So...you CAN'T trust yourself (unskilled on most things, no time to get super skilled), and you can't rust authorities
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4/ So you need a second dimension, which is your confidence in a conclusion. ...and if your confidence is under some threshhold (maybe 80 or 90%) you can (and should) simplify "I think X but I could be wrong" to just "I don't know".
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5/ > gonna be ? ALWAYS WAS astronaut.jpghttps://twitter.com/sonyasupposedly/status/1285242001659621377 …
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6/ so, anyway, this mode of thinking appoaches
@eigenrobot "I refuse to have opinions". I don't go quite that far - on topics that are important, and which I either have axiomatic views, or have evidence based views that I am > 90% confident on, I'll have an opinion.Show this thread -
7/ but, really, epistemic laziness - the desire to KNOW FOR SURE - is the root of many sins. Admit that things are complicated. Admit that you can't be sure.
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