> The only measure that matters is deaths from COVID. ONLY !?!? Disagree. That's the most important measure, sure, but months of fever, delusions, aching bones, and then a year or more of impaired respiration afterwards ain't nothing. Deaths matter. But so do cases. https://twitter.com/RBPundit/status/1283739244666802176 …
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2/ "only measure that matters" asserted without evidence How much would someone pay to avoid dying? We have hard data - lives are valued at $8M. Year of quality life is valued at $130k cite: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Value_of_life#United_States … https://twitter.com/RBPundit/status/1283742835901177856 …
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3/ > People get sick. Happens all the time. Sure. And people die. Happens all the time. People even die of flu. Happens all the time. Thus your own argument refutes your conclusion. /shrug many such cases cc
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4/ anyway, given that we value * life: $8M * yr of quality life: $130k if we assume that covid knocks off 1 yr of quality life, one plausible metric for utility is utility loss = num deaths + 0.16 * num non-fatal cases /exeunt
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typo: 0.016
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