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A combination of three things, though adherents of each want to only focus on their favorite: More severe sentencing Video games Abortion
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The lead theory is one of the more interesting ones https://www.motherjones.com/environment/2016/02/lead-exposure-gasoline-crime-increase-children-health/ …
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Crime has fallen everywhere, even in places where prison populations are decreasing, and admission rates for non violent offenders increase faster than the admission rate for violent offenders. I think your hypothesis has some clear flaws.
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>It's almost as if prison is a useful way to keep violent people off the streets. Total rate of people locked up is the same. Except in 1st half of 20th century, lots and lots of people were locked up in asylums. http://volokh.com/files/bernardharcourt-volokh_graph.1.JPG …
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