on the one hand, cops are trigger happy lunatics on other hand, we should expect covid fears to apply most to the marginal criminal -> less impulsive shoplifting by teenaged suburban girls, similar number of liquor store holdups by toothless guys w "poor impulse control" tattooshttps://twitter.com/samswey/status/1258116865387356161 …
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4/ quite plausible! https://twitter.com/DeanBradleySFF/status/1258739450659647488 …
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5/ Going to a meta point, I have a hard time with responses like the one below. When I see a weird thing - EVEN IF IT AGREES WITH MY PRIORS (e.g. "cops are way too shooty"), my first instinct is to generate contrary hypotheses.https://twitter.com/AvigdorLoeb/status/1258737492976701440 …
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Agreed! Unfortunately some assume that a body of data is a homogenous mass, and if A=X% of B, when B declines by Y% they get confused if A doesn't also drop by Y%. I wish high schools pushed statistics instead of calculus for most students.
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