2/ Interestingly, this is right around the time that we start to undo the lock-downs. This leads me to think that the unlock-cases-surge-relock scenario that we've all mostly assumed for a month or more is exactly what we're going to see. Since the goal of the lockdown >>>
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3/ was never "let the virus burn out", but was instead "let our hospitals not be overwhelmed by a wave", the actual number of deaths and the actual schedule of opening up seem to be well in tune with that expressed goal.
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4/ On this topic, I've got some folks (friends) suggesting that I'm a covid-maximalist. They think that I'm saying that the virus is ultra deadly and that I want lockdowns to continue forever. I've had others suggest that I'm a minimalist and don't want prudent norms. >
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5/ Really, I'm just a guy who's observing data. I really don't have any opinions about what policy should be. I'm fairly allergic to "policy" in the first place. I'm taking care of my own garden, and I don't presume to take give gardening instructions to others.
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6/ (metaphorically, that is; my homesteading book has lots of literal garden instruction!)
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7/ mmm....sort of agree, sort of disagree there were 51 distinct policies, and 50,000 rationalizations and explanations my tweet re "the goal" was charitable interpretation / steel manninghttps://twitter.com/random_eddie/status/1254776511380381696 …
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8/ excellent question as I have no pressing need to break quarantine, I'll stay in until things look much better I have done 1 limited run off the farm in the last 8 weeks, wearing mask and gloves. I'll do more, as needed - maybe once per month? >>>https://twitter.com/zywiecPolska/status/1254782832678850560 …
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9/ If there's a vaccine, I'll get it and end quarantine. If there's a treatment that makes the whole thing trivial, same. If we see lockdown-ends-surge-lockdown-resumes oscillations, I'll just stay in for a looooong time.
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this is a high quality treat full of useful information, thanks
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