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5/ also, my bias is always to expect the worst, to plan for it, and to attempt to mitigate it, so I have a constitutional aversion to cheery scenarios ; I'd rather be surprised by things turning out better than expected than surprised by the reverse so take these numbers as >>>
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6/ those of a principled, numerate pessimist I think numbers WORSE than this are very very very unlikely.
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End of conversation
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And what if the hydroxychloroquine/azithromycin stack works? 5 days, ~$30 though we'll see if that goes up when you scale to 300 Million doses.
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